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Jair Bolsonaro's strong victory in the Brazilian elections confirms that there is a shift in political-ideological direction in many Latin American countries, which may mean a very different trend in the populist of the left (in various countries). degrees), which dominated the region for much of the 21st century
In Argentina, it has been ruled for several years by Macri, the counterpart of the indefinable duo of corrupt Kirchner-socialists, if any; in Chile, Piñera returned after the second and unfortunate four-year term of Socialist Bachellett. In Colombia, the bias of Uribe is baderted, through Duque. And in other countries, political forces with a similar perspective involve them.
Is it positive or negative? To answer correctly, we need to make some clarifications. The framework of power that Chávez directed with his checkbook in petrodollar and which had a first circle in Nicaragua, Cuba and Bolivia, as well as close and corrupt alliances with Brazil of Lula, Ecuador of Correa and Argentina of Kirchner – not to continue with other less important cases, already part of the bad history of our continent. And that, of course, is positive.
In Venezuela, the red hegemony is still maintained, or maintained, against the popular will and despite the humanitarian catastrophe. In Nicaragua, the Ortega dynasty sets up a frontal dictatorship, and Cuba, of course, is a singularity that must be considered as such. Will there be any substantive changes in these countries? In Venezuela, Nicaragua and Bolivia, yes. Changes that should be constitutional but can also be very uneven.
Just as Maduro's predecessor – and his Castro bosses – were the turbine engines of the so-called San Pablo Forum in terms of access and continuity of power, so Mr. Maduro and his widespread disaster were important factors in the disqualification of 21st century socialism that they claim to represent and the strengthening of different alternatives, from decent social democracy to the traditionalist right, through liberalism and renovated center-right. That, I think, is not negative, as long as you do not make the mistake of confusing social justice and socialism, which amounts to confusing gymnastics and magnesia …
Mexico's López Obrador will be a case in share. Let's see what happens. But it is not an exaggeration to say that changes are taking place in Latin America. I hope for good.
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