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Few doubts that this time, in his third attempt, Andrés Manuel López Obrador was to take the presidency of Mexico.
The quick count, the projection of the results of the votes recorded in 5% of the randomly chosen squares, give a dull victory: between 53% and 53.8%.
This result is much larger than the polls gave him, which, although they had him in the forefront throughout the campaign, his [19459005Lavictorystillisgreaterthanonnel'imagined
"The changes will be profound, but in accordance with the established legal order, there will be freedom of business, freedom of expression, badociation and belief" . during his first speech
Last line of the campaign was, candidates Ricardo Anaya, of the Por México al Frente coalition, and José Antonio Meade, of the All for Mexico coalition, only aspired to take second place.
By the fast count, Anaya got a little over 22% of the votes and Meade something less than 16%. Both agree promptly their defeat and the triumph of AMLO.
C what were the keys why this time did AMLO get the presidency of Mexico?
Several experts consulted by BBC World speak about 3 main reasons
1. A more pragmatic, more conciliatory AMLO " AMLO has an undeniable merit .He and his team have insisted on creating a grbadroots organization for years and have set up a structure that defies and defeats other parties, "says Sergio Aguayo, In addition, the successor to Enrique Peña Nieto has treated in this campaign a speech of your most conciliatory and pragmatic, says José Luis Berlanga, expert in political theory at the University of Monterrey (UDEM).
"This time raised a catch-all movement " in his alliance, all those who wanted to join, of all colors and all flavors, " says the academic
That is why he had a less ideological and more moderate image.
In his campaign, he added people who previously were unthinkable, among the great examples is the businessman Alfonso Romo, who stated that he was previously opposed to AMLO and will now be his chief of staff.
Also, her campaign coordinator, Tatiana Clouthier is the daughter of Manuel Clouthier, candidate for the presidency of the National Action Party (PAN) in 1988 and who also starred in the right wing party until 1993. in 2005.
But the biggest controversy was caused by the coalition formed with the Party of Social Encounters (PES), with evangelical roots, says Berlanga
For his part, the expert from the University of Monterrey points out that before this satiety with the government, which is perceived as corrupt, "a part of the population perceives in AMLO the possibility of a genuine change ". 19659002] Also, the picture they have of AMLO is that it is an honest politician says
To a certain extent, AMLO also symbolizes the anti-system politician . He was still far away from Peña Nieto, has always had a very critical and harsh speech against the government and the more traditional parties, he explains
" He capitalized on this feeling of anger and for the voters it represents the possibility to punish those who have done wrong and who have done wrong, "he said.
3. War between PRI and PAN
Experts agree that AMLO was the beneficiary for the war between PRI and PAN
Although we do not know why this fight started, we know that these parties were close during the six-year term of Peña Nieto and that at some point, fight that did not happen. is not finished
Bartra says that the one between these parties occurred when part of the PAN broke an agreement by which Margarita Zavala was going to be the candidate.
extremely weak – as seen later when he resigned. But in this understanding, the PRI had the opportunity to win the elections. "
When Ricardo Anaya, who was seen with a candidate with possibilities, came to ruin the plan, the expert badured. (19659048) Ricardo Anaya ” width=”976″ height=”549″ data-highest-encountered-width=”624″/> Ricardo Anaya acknowledged the triumph of AMLO
"The wing close to the PAN PRI was angered and there was a very strong confrontation in which some left."
Thus, the government With the PRI, they concentrated their battle not against López Obrador, as we had planned, but against Anaya, who became the main enemy, they fought Anaya and even more used the office of the Liga. lawyer against him, plus AMLO increased The calculation went wrong " says Bartra.
For Berlanga, the break between PRI and PAN was probably in the elections of the state of Mexico and Coahuila in 2017. The PAN estimated that the PRI had kidnapped Coahuila
The lawsuit was still pending. 39 intensify until Anaya threatens Peña Nieto to investigate him and take him to prison in case he finds cases against him.
Whatever q who won was AMLO the badysts are in agreement.
In addition, hindered the "useful vote" : some of the supporters of the PRI and PAN candidates no longer wanted to cast their vote for the candidate who was in second place because of the strong anger between the two sides
Angry mingled hope
Berlanga and Aguayo agree in this, despite the fact that part of the Mexicans or because of abundance, they were also motivated by l & # 39; hope.
But a hope less naive or irrational than that of the year 2000, says the researcher of COLMEX
"We know that AMLO is not a miraculous cure, but it is thought that he will take the bigger national problems more seriously. "
AMLO will take over as President on December 1.
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