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What's at stake
The legislative elections of November 6th will be held in the United States, which will decide who will be the majority of the legislative power of the country.
In these mid-term elections, it is the Americans who decide. :
– 435 seats of the House of Representatives (the equivalent of deputies representing the districts of each state);
– 35 Senate (total, 100 seats)
– 36 governors of state
– and hundreds of public offices of the states and municipalities.
This type of election usually serves as a performance test of the president . It will therefore serve as a measure of Trump's management, with a strong message against immigration.
The Shadow of Dismissal
Currently, I Republicans are in the majority in both houses and the Donald Trump government is breathing with some confidence. However, a change in the tables – the Democrats would need to win 25 seats – would control the party that sometimes dropped the possibility of an impeachment .
del impeachment – in Brazil was used to overthrow Dilma Rouseff – needs a very large majority, so regaining a simple majority in front of the cameras would be the first step for Democrats if they finally decided to use this political figure.
Nearly eight out of ten Democrats say Trump should be immediately charged.
Legislative elections are biennial, so another Republican victory would pave the way until 2020, which would involve approving much of the president's agenda and strengthening his electoral power.
Two of the most famous American actors, Leonardo DiCaprio and Brad Pitt, joined forces during this Saturday to fight abstention in US general elections, participation is generally well below the average. presidential election.
"The future of our country will be decided this week," DiCaprio said at the start of a video with Pitt broadcast Friday on the progressive digital platform Now this was resumed today. by many American media
Brad Pitt and @LeoDiCaprio urge all Americans to go beyond. I just voted on November 6th. Here's how you can make a difference and change the future of our country. pic.twitter.com/r2gANn2zwm
– NowThis (@nowthisnews) 2 November 2018
"Elections do not matter only when we vote for presidents and that these elections could be the most important of our lives," added the winner of a Oscar.
Possible Scenarios
The two hemicycles are at stake: the House of Representatives and one third of the Senate are reopened . Mid-term elections that unfold in a context marked by several events: the sending of homemade bombs to the Clinton, Obama and CNN homes, the anti-Semitic Pittsburgh attack on weekends last and most importantly, Trump's rhetoric against the caravans of Central American migrants.
The Democrats see these elections as a unique opportunity to balance the balance and, according to the polls, have a strong chance that will seize six to nine gobernacione [ to the Republicans, which would almost equalize the executive power over the 50 states.
Trump risks debilitating consequences if Republicans lose control of one or both houses of Congress that would end two years of Republican hegemony in Washington. The president has often beaten against his own party, so that if he lost ground in these elections, he would face a much less lenient opposition. it would only be a victory for the Republicans, but a validation of Trump's policy and unconventional presidency. This possible outcome, considered less likely even in the White House, would encourage the president to re-elect.
White House advisers insist that the president does not spend much time considering a possible defeat, but that he has begun to try to calibrate expectations. In the last days of his fervent campaign of proselytism, he focused on competitive senatorial elections and tries not to blame if the Republicans lose the House of Representatives. winner, claiming that their efforts in the campaign have reduced the Republican party's losses and helped them maintain the Senate, according to a person familiar with Trump's thought who asked not to remain anonymous, as he was not not allowed to speak in public about party discussions. White House
Role of Young People and Women
The political decision taken by young Americans in the upcoming general election will weigh more heavily in the results, according to the advance voting statistics for the elections they have traditionally attracted a larger electorate, white and masculine. Up to 24 million people, up from 12 million in 2014, shows a particularly strong increase among young people, in addition to Latin. A record number of 29 million Hispanics, but only a quarter of voters should go to the polls Tuesday
In elections where the gap between Democrats and Republicans is expected, 23 women are presented in the Senate, 237 in the House of Representatives and 16 governors.
More than 25 youth-led activist groups, such as "March For Our Lives" or "National School Walkout", have joined forces to promote voting through a joint "Future Coalition" [19659030]
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