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Jair Bolsonaro, the presidential candidate in Brazil who is in the lead, is a controversial figure charged with recalling the country's main problems, the economy, security and corruption, but with a double-edged weapon. , although many credits are granted today, can also become one of his main demons.
The Double-edged Sword
Together with the Brazilian economist and investor, Paulo Guedes seduced the business community with his promises of privatization, increased control of public spending, lower taxes, and a pension distribution to float a country whose public debt reaches 80% of its gross domestic product and has not experienced expected economic growth.
"You have to see how the execution and the practice of this project are going, since there are many governments that have won with this type of speech, then they ended up worse than Francisco Castañeda, an economist at the time. University of Santiago, adds that "the impulse towards a more open economy is a double-edged sword if it is not done gradually, by integrating all sectors (union and citizenship) and to the search for a consensus. "
In this context, Castañeda states that" Macri is doing a bit what Bolsonaro promises to do, the Argentinian economy is wrinkling because it is not prepared for adjustments ". such a magnitude in the short term. "
The trans-Andean country lost its credit capacity, returned to the local credit system, which resulted in an increase in inflation and liberalization of basic services, which had an impact negative on the pocket of the citizen
"My point is that the direction is adequate with regard to the objectives of the reform, but the speed is very fast and the population is not able to absorb these higher costs and / or those who support it become opponents. I'm afraid something like this can happen in Bolsonaro when he actually wins the elections. "
Mano dura
The far right, congressman and former army captain, is rejected by many sectors for his praise of the dictatorship Brazilian military and racist, misogynist and homophobic comments
However, he garnered broad support by posing as the antithesis of the Workers Party (PT) and the establishment in general, pointing out that he did not been convicted of corruption, unlike He promised to fight crime and fill his cabinet with generals and former generals.
"Bolsonaro throws political flags that would have been withdrawn in Latin America, but that seem to acquire a new impetus and concretely it is a very strong populist and nationalist thinking, "says Marcos Ceballos, sociologist of Andres Bello.
Nevertheless, warns that" not all voters follow the badumptions ofcandidates. Here is a very strong protest vote against Lula and the PT which, I think, could partly confuse us, believe that the entire electorate is aligned with the ideological proposal, I think that's n & rsquo; Is not the case. "
On the other hand, there is the fact that" more than 60% of the voters in Bolsonaro are under 30, that is, they did not live under the dictatorship or the post-dictatorship in Brazil, we are talking about an electorate that has no memory of the violations of human rights, the economy and the freedom of life. Expression, "he said.
If Bolsonaro wins the elections, his aggressive rhetoric will undoubtedly have an impact on the region, where Brazil is a very powerful country." The alliance liberal "with the far-right countries of Latin America finds in Venezuela his big stone in the hoof, including: she talked about overthrowing the president Nicolás Maduro.
" Let's see what will be the reaction of the part of Maduro, who does not pay attention to the reactions, we will see if this becomes understandable as neighbors or that there is a confrontation, but I do not think it will happen at x elderly, "says Samuel Fernández, international badyst at the Central University.
And he adds, "One thing is the speeches of a presidential candidate who seeks to bring voters together and another is the government, where he is elected."
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