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Trends for 2018 and 2019 of the International Labor Organization predict an increase in unemployment and job insecurity in the countries of the region, particularly in those with a high level of debt, as Argentina, according to an badysis published in Mercosur Information Agency (AIM), by Vaquero Ibarra
In the report Social Outlook and Employment in the world (Geneva, 2018) the body that will reach a century in 2.019, points out that although global production is growing at a rate of 3.5%, among the so-called emerging countries, non-employment Formal and vulnerable is also growing: precarious, " since the improvement in employment should be modest, it is likely that in the coming years there will be an increase in the number of workers in forms vulnerable employment (self-employed and family workers auxiliary iliacs) is). Overall, significant progress made in the past in reducing this type of employment has been virtually stagnant since 2012. In 2017, it is estimated that about 42 percent of workers worldwide (or 1400 million people) )) is in vulnerable employment terms; this percentage is expected to remain particularly high in developing and emerging countries, where it is 76% and 46% respectively. It is worrying that the current projection indicates a reversal of the trend, with an annual increase of 17 million people in vulnerable jobs in 2018 and 2019. "
What the ILO calls vulnerable employment – precarious employment and unprotected – alarming: 42% of the world's workers, between 1,400 and 1,500 million workers, this percentage has been maintained, with minimal changes, since 2012 and should continue in this direction in the immediate future
Similarly, the paper focuses on gender disparity because, as we know, "women are less likely to participate in the labor market and, overall, they have a participation deficit of more than by 26 percentage points compared to men. "
In terms of access to the labor market, the youngest (under 25) oscillate at a rate of 13%, almost 3 times higher that of the pe elderly people in this age group. And, in case something is missing from the panorama proposed by the agency, the pressure on social security services will increase in the coming years, " the increase in the expectation of life and declining birth rates have significantly slowed the growth of the world's population, and this trajectory is expected to continue in the coming decades.An immediate consequence of this deceleration is that the growth of the world's labor force will not suffice. not compensate for the rapid growth of the retirement pool and put pressure on both pension systems and the labor market as a whole, and in both cases the aging of the population will inevitably lead to an increase in the number of pensioners. 39, the average age of the people who make up the workforce and will defeat the ability of workers to track innovations and structural changes in the labor market Likewise, 57% of Argentine workers do not participate in the social security system or do so intermittently.
Projected scenario for Latin America and the Caribbean
The percentage of workers in vulnerable jobs has increased significantly over the last five years due to the sharp recession in the region and the turnaround neoliberal observed since 2015 " In addition, the incidence of informality in the region remains widespread and one of the highest in the world (…), underscoring the need Differentiated measures focused on promoting the formalization of informal enterprises and those who work informally in formal enterprises It can be said that reducing informality is one of the most likely ways of doing business. 39 eradicate the extreme and moderate poverty of the workforce, which continues to affect more than 8% of the workers in the region . "One of the main obstacles observed in Argentina is that 40 percent of workers have not completed high school, hence it follows that the low level of education is badociated (in reverse) with the quality of the work. employment.
The data included in the document add to those recently collected by Argentine Observatory of the Social Debt of the Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina (UCA) and the Economic Commission for the 39 Latin America Who prevent similar scenarios, in which the most vulnerable sectors would face difficult times, this translates into a high social inequality and a structural character, " to face the challenges and continue to go forward In the social development of the region and, in particular, to overcome poverty, poverty and vulnerability, it is fundamental to cope with the high levels of inequality They characterize societies Latin America, generated to a large extent by the structural heterogeneity that characterizes their economies. and to deepen the diagnosis and characterization of the social inequality matrix in the region and integrate this badysis, in a structuring way, into the design, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of the social inequality matrix in the region. 39, Evaluation of Public Policies (CEPAL 2016), in Argentina, where more than 20 percent of the economically active population (pea) is currently underemployed, that is: changa, in temporary or independent jobs, focused on small "enterprises" of " among the self-employed, there is a hard core of precarious work consisting of workers who develop activities in the informal sector and who have a incomplete secondary cycle "( UCA, 2017).
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