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by Brad Brevet
May 23, 2019
The weekend of Memorial Day 2019 arrives with the release of Aladdin, Walt Disney's latest live movie based on one of the studio's iconic animated films. The weekend also features new versions of Booksmart and Brightburn while many members of the audience will catch the second weekend of John Wick: Chapter 3 and we will see the gross domestic product for Avengers: End of the game $ 800 million by the end of the long holiday weekend.
Disney Aladdin Will land in first place on the weekend. The studio forecasts a four-day performance of $ 75 to $ 85 million in more than 4,400 locations. This is the widest out of all reinventions of Disney's live action and is part of a disappointing performance for Dumbo, which debuted with $ 45.9 million in late March and has managed $ 111.6 million since. It's also the second time that Disney debuts with one of these films during the Memorial Day weekend holidays, the previous being another disappointment, that of 2016. Alice through the mirror. Disney has operated Guy Ritchie to lead this latest adaptation with Will Smith resume the role of Genius, which was expressed by Robin Williams in the original animated feature.
Genius generated by CGIs has been the focus of some negative rumors online. Although the film gained ground before its release, mixed reviews are unlikely to help the cause of the weekend. A glance at the data on the IMDb page shows that it is late on that of 2014 Maleficent (Opening $ 69.4 million), the release of Disney by The jungle Book ($ 103.2 million opening) and the opening of the Memorial Day weekend of last year Solo: A story of Star Wars (Opening $ 84.4 million). However, it exceeds considerably Dumbo and Alice through the mirror.
Overall, the film will benefit from screenings in more than 2,700 3D locations, 400 IMAX screens, 700 premium widescreen displays and 200 D-Box / 4D locations. The premieres will start at 6pm tonight, alongside the fan events starting at 5pm. Right now, considering everything we envision, a three-day start of around $ 60 million and a four-day performance over $ 75 million seems like a good bet. The big question will be how much the audience will react to the film and will this answer reinforce its performance throughout the weekend or will it hurt its daily performance?
internationally, Aladdin debuted in all major markets, with the exception of Japan, where the film will open on June 7th. The film has already opened its doors in France, Italy and the United Kingdom, and today in Germany, Russia, Australia, Korea and Brazil with openings in China, Spain and Mexico are scheduled for this Friday.
In second place, John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum should hold court, diving around -58% or more for a $ 24 million three days, growing up $ 30 million for the four-day weekend. It must be said that this is a bigger trough than the -44.5% drop for the first John Wick and -46.7% for Chapter 2That could mean it's going to be a little better than we expected, but at the end of the four-day weekend, we're looking at about $ 109 million.
Disney Avengers: End of the game will become the second film to exceed $ 800 million domestically this weekend, as it enters its fifth week of release. We are looking for the movie to dive -42% this weekend for a $ 17.4 million over three days, probably over $ 800 million on Monday, with a $ 22 + million four day performance.
Fourth, look for WB Pokemon Detective Pikachu $ 120 million this weekend, plunging -42% for a $ 14 million three days and finally finish with a four day performance just around $ 18 million.
To finish in the top five, we have the second of three new weekend outings of Sony's release of Screen Gems' R-rated superhero horror film. Brightburn and we begin to think that this one could surprise and rise even higher in the top five. While the studio is looking for a four-day performance around $ 10 million, we are planning about three days $ 13 million and about four days $ 15 million. The photo debuts in over 2,600 locations and serves as a good counter-program to the other new offerings of the week, while being the first new horror movie ever since. The curse of La Llorona five weeks ago.
Just behind Brightburn, search Olivia Wildethe R-rated comedy Booksmart. UA Releasing will debut in 2,505 theaters, with a three-day opening in high-value averages. Looking at compositions such as I feel pretty (Opening $ 16 million) and No one is fooled (Opening of $ 13.7 million), Booksmart is suspended from IMDb page viewer performance. If the number of theaters exceeds 3,000 places, we would be encouraged to go even further with our forecasts. However, in the current state of things, we are still going beyond the expectations of the studio, providing for a $ 11 million three days and one $ 13 million four day performance.
The forecast for this weekend is directly below. This article will be updated on Friday morning with the results of Thursday night's preview followed by Friday's estimates on Saturday morning and a full weekend's recap on Sunday morning.
THREE DAY WEEKEND FORECAST
- Aladdin – $ 60.0 million
- John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum (3,862 theaters) – $ 23.9 million
- Avengers: End of the game – $ 17.4 million
- Pokemon Detective Pikachu (4,168 theaters) – $ 14.1 million
- Brightburn (2,607 theaters) – $ 13.0 million
- Booksmart (2,505 theaters) – $ 11.0 million
- The journey of a dog (3,274 rooms) – $ 4.6 million
- L & # 39; agitation (2,377 rooms) – $ 3.6 million
- L & # 39; intruder (1,612 screens) – $ 2.6 million
- Long Shot (1,602 theaters) – $ 1.7 million
WEEKEND FORECAST FOR FOUR DAYS
- Aladdin – $ 75.3 million
- John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum (3,862 theaters) – $ 30.6 million
- Avengers: End of the game – $ 22.2 million
- Pokemon Detective Pikachu (4,168 theaters) – $ 17.8 million
- Brightburn (2,607 theaters) – $ 15.0 million
- Booksmart (2,505 theaters) – $ 13.0 million
- The journey of a dog (3,274 rooms) – $ 6.3 million
- L & # 39; agitation (2,377 rooms) – $ 4.5 million
- L & # 39; intruder (1,612 screens) – $ 3.3 million
- Long Shot (1,602 screens) – $ 2.2 million
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