high-risk election this Sunday for Chancellor Merkel



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Angela Merkel and her government coalition could suffer another blow Sunday in the elections in the Hesse region, which may weaken a little Chancellor used by 13 years of power.

"Hesse will blow up the grand coalition" between conservatives and social democrats who governs in Berlin, wonders Sunday the most read newspaper in Germany, Bild.

"Hesse vote, Berlin trembles", echoes the daily Süddeutsche Zeitung, saying that the German center-right chancellor "has never been so under pressure" since taking office in 2005.

A tumble announced

Two weeks after a catastrophic vote for her conservative camp in Bavaria, Angela Merkel could see the debate revived on its future in case of poor performance in the Land, which Frankfurt is the capital.

"Angela Merkel has been chancellor for 13 years but never before has she been politically so under pressure", summarizes this Saturday the daily Süddeutsche Zeitung.

The latest opinion polls credit his party, the conservatives of the CDU, the Christian Democratic Union, from 26 to 28% of the voting intentions. If this were to be confirmed, it would mean a loss of 10 points from the last regional election 5 years ago. As for his social-democratic partner of the SPD, the tumble could be of the same order, with an expected score of 20 to 21%.

The first exit polls are expected at the close of polls around 18 hours. The chancellor should however speak only Monday.

End of political career for Angela Merkel?

"Nobody can say at 100% how things will remain stable" after this election, has also warned the number two party CDU, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, a close to the Chancellor.

The threat to the Chancellor is all the more concrete as she will face a vote of the party's activists in early December. But some executives are no longer secret behind the scenes of the need for the CDU to change course and put more right on the face of the rise of the far right, what Angela Merkel has done until here only sparingly.

The chancellor, who has been at the head of the CDU for more than 18 years, has just evoked the end of her political career in a roundabout way, saying that "all those who in the past wanted to settle their own succession failed ". However, no rival within the CDU has openly declared so far.

Climb of the Greens and the AfD

The Germans appear weary of recurring conflicts within the coalition, initiated in particular by the CSU, the Bavarian partner of the CDU, which tries to impose a turn of screw on the immigration.

Conversely, the Greens have the wind in the polls in Hesse and the national level after a flattering score in Bavaria in mid-October. Polls predict 20% to 21% of the vote and the Greens even dream of conquering Sunday a second region, after Baden-Wuerttemberg they lead since 2011 by being extremely pragmatic.

With an expected score around 13%, the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD), born just five years ago, is expected to complete its regional presence by being now represented in the parliaments of the 16 Länder.

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