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Along the shores of Outer Banks, North Carolina, an overcrowded terrain that has more candidates than the 2020 Democratic presidential primary, fights for the seat left vacant by the death of Rep. Walter Jones in the third North Carolina Convention District. Jones, a Republican who had held office for 13 terms, died in February at the age of 76. There are 25 candidates in the running and 17 of them are Republicans.
Dr. Joan Perry is one of these candidates. She is a Republican pediatrician who praises her anti-abortion position as a pediatrician over 30 years old and endowed with a strong conservative background.
While she faces 16 other candidates for the special election, including six elected and six candidates with political training, Perry calls on voters as a "political outsider" who never went to the polls. A Republican consultant, Barney Keller, said that he would only help her in the race.
"Republican primary voters across the country are looking for people who look outside the political system, just like Trump," Keller said. "No matter where you go, it's always good to oppose the status quo in Washington."
And Perry's anti-abortion agenda, said Keller, is a "perfect message" for a Republican primary. Until now, Perry has secured support from Susan B. Anthony List as well as from another group, the Winning Action Fund for Women (WFW AF), a committee of directors. political action focused on the election of more conservative women.
WFW AF, who made a six-figure advertising purchase for Perry in the disputed primary, said he was "proud" to support the Republican. This endorsement is part of a GOP attempt to focus on the election of more women to political office after the mid-term election of 2018 which saw a record number of women, mostly Democrats, occupy their seats in the House of Representatives. Currently, there are 102 women in Congress. Thirteen are Republicans.
"The mid-term elections have presented a harsh truth – qualified Republican women will continue to be left behind, especially in the primaries, unless they get the support they need from end to end," he said. said Rebecca Schuller, executive director of the WFW.
"The NC-03 is our first opportunity to prove that Republicans really want to play in the primaries to elect more women and we look forward to continuing to lead this effort."
Perry told CBS News that she was "encouraged and humiliated" by the support of WFW as well as by the endorsement of Susan B. Anthony List.
"Leading a campaign with strong, solid financial support in just seven weeks could not be without their courage to take a step forward and defend with me a new direction in Congress," said Perry.
While Perry lacks the name recognition or political expertise of some of the other players in the race, she should not be ruled out in the primary, Keller said. Perry's personal connection to the eastern district of North Carolina could be a significant benefit.
"A pediatrician from a small town, there's usually only one … people tend to remember the name of the doctor who's busy with their baby "said Keller. Keller, who is not affiliated with any candidate running in the third congressional district of North Carolina, predicts that few votes will be cast during the GOP primary – from 16,000 to 25,000 in total, out of the 17 candidates. Basically, "anyone with a large extended family could see themselves in a second round," Keller said.
It is typical for states to record historically low turnout during which there is nothing more than voters going to the polls – which is especially true if there is a second round. There will be a second round if no one wins 30% of the vote in the special election.
Keller suggested, "For a race like this … local networks can have an outside influence.Usually, convincing your family to vote for you is not a ticket to Congress." He predicts that the race "will be 100% competitive", and these are the four candidates Keller thinks he has the best chance of succeeding: "I'll put two dollars to Perry [Celeste] Cairns [Gregory] Murphy and [Eric] Rouse, "he said, including Cairns, another woman from outside, Murphy, a current member of the House of Representatives of North Carolina, and Rouse, a local county commissioner.
In 1992, Jones was first elected Democrat to the North Carolina Congress, but was first elected third in North Carolina in 1994 during the "Republican Revolution" led by Newt Gingrich. Since then, it has been considered a Republican district largely safe. Although he has been a reliable Republican vote for almost his entire term of nearly 24 years, Jones has gained notoriety for sometimes breaking up with his party.
The primary elections are Tuesday and the general elections on July 9. If a second round was required, it would be held on July 9, 2019 and the general election would be postponed until September 10, 2019.
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