Horowitz: New analysis shows infection from asymptomatic cases is incredibly low – even within households

Before this year, few people had used the term “asymptomatic” and many had never heard of it, but today it rules our lives. Although Dr Fauci and other experts said from day one that asymptomatic spread never was the source of epidemics, “we turned our lives upside down for nine months on the assumption that each of us – whether we have symptoms or not – could be a silent killer who needs to be isolated, watched and masked. Yet, as over the months, evidence continues to mount that asymptomatic carriers of SARS-CoV-2 contribute less to the spread than previously thought, not more.

A new meta-analysis published in JAMA by researchers at the Department of Biostatistics at the University of Florida, Gainesville and the Cancer Research Center in Seattle, Washington, found that the secondary attack rate of symptomatic carriers of SARS-CoV- 2 is almost 26 times that of asymptomatic carriers. The analysis pooled 54 studies with a total of 77,758 participants. These studies collectively looked at the chances of an infected person in a home with multiple occupants infecting other people in the household.

Unsurprisingly, the authors found that the household attack rate for SARS-CoV-2 was relatively high compared to other pandemic coronaviruses like SARS and MERS. Overall, they estimated the household secondary attack rate to be 16.6%. However, they found a huge gap between the primary transmitters that were symptomatic and those that were asymptomatic. Those who showed symptoms ended up transmitting the virus to household members 18% of the time, while those who were asymptomatic only transmitted it to 0.7% of household contacts.

In addition, consistent with the findings of other studies, “symptoms of critical severity index cases were associated with higher infectivity in 6 of 9 studies where this was examined”. This means that the more seriously ill you are, the more contagious you can be.

It’s really hard to overestimate the importance of this finding compared to the public perception based on the lies we have been told about asymptomatic spread. For starters, the under-70 death rate, according to Stanford epidemiologist John Ioannidis, is 0.05%. This means that your chance of dying from the virus after meeting people who have no symptoms is 0.00035%, or 1 in 285,714, if you are under 70! It is essentially the bulk of the American workforce. They turn their lives upside down because someone without symptoms could pass on to them a virus that is rarely fatal to them.

Also, keep in mind that this low secondary attack rate among asymptomatic carriers of the virus comes from home transmission, which is much more prevalent than attack rates in stores or businesses. This means that your chances of getting infected and dying from someone who is asymptomatic just by passing it through a restaurant or store (much less outside) is so slim, it’s well below the risk that we assume by taking every step of life.

Yet politicians refuse to break away from this fixation on stores and restaurants as if they are responsible for the transmission, especially when customers have no visible symptoms. It’s not just the panicking porn purveyors who will never let go of the myth of asymptomatic mass spread. There is an entire industrial complex of testing behind fixing tests on people for asymptomatic infection that is too big to fail with the state’s health bureaucracies.

My former colleague, Jordan Schachtel, researched the cost of these tests and found that at 2 million tests performed per day, the current median cost of COVID testing in America is “around $ 254 million per day. day, $ 7.6 billion per month and $ 91.4 billion per year. “This does not include all of the miscellaneous costs of testing that benefit the entire healthcare-government complex, such as the cost of sample collection and amplification, additional doctor visits, and endless possibilities to milk the federal low, which continues to decline. billion dollars in the test scheme.

What’s so baffling about politicians’ refusal to rethink their stance on asymptomatic spread is that it won’t end with the vaccine. As long as we continue to test with 40 layers of amplification, it is very likely that we can still detect traces of the virus, even in people who have already recovered or who have been vaccinated. This is probably true for most viruses, but since we never tested 2 million people a day with ultra-sensitive tests, we never focused on “re-infecting” those who were vaccinated.

So until we restore constitutional rights and a minimum of non-flat scientific sense, business owners will continue to be threatened with jail, all for a lie.