How healthy will the world be in 2040?



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ANI |
Last update:
21 October 2018 12:23 IST

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– Rajat Sharma

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Washington DC [USA] October 21 (ANI): According to one study, if things continue as they are now, life expectancy will be on average 4.4 years longer than that of men and women. Women in the World by 2040.
For the study published in The Lancet, the researchers created a model projecting the health consequences and leading causes of death for women. year 2040 in 195 countries and territories. According to Fox News, the model was based on a previous study that examined such factors in global populations between 1990 and 2016.
The model also took into account 79 pilots; health, such as smoking, body mbad index, drinking water and good sanitation conditions, as well as other variables, such as fertility measures, income and education. Next, researchers provided numerical data to predict three distinct scenarios: a "most likely" forecast, a "better health" scenario and a "worse health" scenario.
But choices in public health and political decisions could now determine. According to the authors, if we continue our momentum, as in the "most likely" scenario, the first eight causes ischemic heart disease, stroke, lower respiratory tract infections, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (a lung disease that blocks the flow air), chronic kidney disease, Alzheimer's disease, diabetes and road accidents.
In this scenario, researchers estimated that life expectancy in the United States would be 79.8 years in 2040, an increase of only 1.1 years compared to the estimate of 2016. Other parts of the world will, however, see greater improvements, for example, life expectancy in Syria is expected to increase from 68.2 years in 2016 to 78.6 years in 2040.
L & # 39, life expectancy should also exceed 85 years in Japan, Singapore and Spain, and exceed 80
Although this scenario predicts an improvement in life expectancy in most countries, it also predicts that the number of deaths from several non-infectious diseases will increase, researchers reported.
Life expectancy differences between high-income and low-income countries would decrease by 2040, according to the most likely scenario, but "the inequalities will continue to be "said Dr. Christopher Murray, lead author of the study, director of the IHME. "In many countries, too many people will continue to earn a relatively low income, remain poorly educated and die prematurely," he said. (ANI)

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