A global flu pandemic could kill nearly a billion people if it began to spread tomorrow, scientists warned.
American experts have created a simulation to find out what would happen if a deadly guy
An invented virus that was spread by cough managed to kill 150 million people – more than double the British population – in less than two years in the fictional situation.
The simulation predicts how governments and health authorities around the world would react to a deadly infection spreading so quickly.
And no vaccine was found at the end of the 20-month-old scenario – simulated over the course of a day – for the virus to continue to erase much of the world's population, an expert said. said.
Although the situation sounds like something from an apocalypse movie, the researchers said that it was not farfetched and that the world was lucky. t was a world p Scientists warned that an epidemic could kill hundreds of millions of people because world health officials are not ready to make a vaccine against a new disease fairly quickly "clbad =" blkBorder img-share "/>
<img id = "i-a6fd7db77a39a81a" src = "https://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/newpix/2018/07/30/12/4EB030E800000578-6006655-image-a-25_1532949904629.jpg "height =" 357 "width =" 634 "alt =" Scientists warn that an epidemic could kill hundreds of millions Scientists have warned that an epidemic could kill hundreds of millions of people because Global health officials are not ready to vaccinate against a new disease soon enough
Scientists at the Johns Hopkins Center for Global Health Security in Baltimore, Maryland, called the Clade simulation experiment X – the name of their fictitious disease
Health experts participated in the experiment: Tom Daschle and Susan Brooks, and former Director of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Julie Gerberding
They were worried that the world was not ready for a deadly pandemic. 9659002] A pandemic occurs when a contagious disease spreads around the world because most people are not immune to this pandemic. and it can not be treated quickly enough.
Dr. Eric Toner, simulation designer, told Business Insider that the world is not ready for a deadly epidemic.
"We do not have the ability to produce vaccines fast enough" [19659002] "We do not have the ability to produce vaccines against a new pathogen in a few months rather than In a few decades, "he said.
"And we do not have global public health capabilities that would allow us to quickly identify
He added that health systems around the world would struggle to deal with a large number of people and could fail under pressure
"This will happen, but I do not know when The experts conceived the Clade X virus as being as infectious and as lethal as SARS, which killed 10% of the 8,000 infected people 2002 and 2003.
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION HIGHLIGHTS THAT HUMANITY IS VULNERABLE [19659022] Mankind is "Vulnerable" to a Pandemic That Could Ki Dr. Tedros Adhanom, Executive Director WHO, said the next epidemic will have a "terrible toll" on the world's population and the economy.
A plague epidemic in Madagascar last November has shaken the medical community and has left worried that she is pr is fast moving around the world.
And the Zika virus transmitted by mosquitoes hit 70 countries in 2016, taking scientists by surprise. Speaking at the World Government Summit in Dubai earlier this year, Dr. Tedros said, "This is not a future nightmare scenario." A devastating epidemic could start in any country and kill millions of people because we are still not prepared. The world remains vulnerable.
"We do not know where and when the next world pandemic will occur, but we know that it will have terrible consequences on both human life and the economy."
SARS could have been much worse, experts say. Business Insider, but it did not become completely contagious until the patients were already hospitalized.
Fictitious Virus Released by Terrorists
In May's Clade X simulation, a virus was a bioterrorist group that wanted to reduce the world's population
It was about A cross between a parainfluenza virus, which causes respiratory diseases similar to colds and spreads through close contact or with contaminated objects, and the Nipah virus, which is rare that can kill people in a matter of days [19659002DuringthescenarioUSpoliticiansmetwiththepresidentamonthafterthevirusappearedwhenmorethan400casesand50deathswerereported
. in Germ and Venezuela, and the patients had a fever, a cough and a confusion.
Some patients have developed brain swelling known as encephalitis and have fallen into coma.
Experts failed to produce a virus and 150 million people died in less than 2 years
The first case was quickly declared in an American university, and scientists and politicians were successful in identify the virus, which spread by coughing a week before the onset of severe symptoms.
But experts around the world have not been able to produce a vaccine within 20 months and 150 million people have died in the world.
Between 15 and 20 million of these deaths occurred in the United States. [19659002] And Dr. Toner said that if, in fact, a vaccine could not be produced quickly, a virus like Clade X could kill 900 million people.
We believe that this scenario is quite plausible & # 39;
"I think we have learned that even very knowledgeable, exper Dedicated and dedicated senior officials who have gone through many crises are still struggling to cope with this kind of situation.
"And it's not because they're not good, smart or dedicated, it's because we do not have the We have to allow the type of response that we want to see.
