Experts: NordBalt repairs could raise electricity prices for businesses Business



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Expects a price increase on the market

According to the Minister of Energy Žygimantas Vaičiūnas, the market has been informed in advance of the planned repairs, and this will take relatively little time, so the effect of prices should not be high

was reissued long ago enough in the spring of this year, the market is not new (…) In any case, the term which is planned is as short as possible, the negative effect on the market will be sufficiently ephemeral "-

  BNS / Daivis Virbickas

SNB / Daivis Virbickas ” rel=”content-image” src=”https://s1.15min.lt/static/cache/NTcweCw5NjB4NTQwLDYxNjI0NixvcmlnaW5hbCwsaWQ9MTg2MjM5NSZkYXRlPTIwMTYlMkYwMiUyRjA5LDYzMTQxMzc1OQ==/daivis-virbickas-56b9e381db397.jpg” style=”width: auto; height: auto;”/>

SNB / Daivis Virbickas ” rel=”content-image” src=”https://s1.15min.lt/static/cache/NTcweCw5NjB4NTQwLDYxNjI0NixvcmlnaW5hbCwsaWQ9MTg2MjM5NSZkYXRlPTIwMTYlMkYwMiUyRjA5LDYzMTQxMzc1OQ==/daivis-virbickas-56b9e381db397.jpg” style=”width: auto; height: auto;”/>

SNB / Daivis Virbickas ” rel=”content-image” src=”https://s1.15min.lt/static/cache/NTcweCw5NjB4NTQwLDYxNjI0NixvcmlnaW5hbCwsaWQ9MTg2MjM5NSZkYXRlPTIwMTYlMkYwMiUyRjA5LDYzMTQxMzc1OQ==/daivis-virbickas-56b9e381db397.jpg” style=”width: auto; height: auto;”/>

SNB / Daivis Virbickas ” rel=”content-image” src=”https://s1.15min.lt/static/cache/NTcweCw5NjB4NTQwLDYxNjI0NixvcmlnaW5hbCwsaWQ9MTg2MjM5NSZkYXRlPTIwMTYlMkYwMiUyRjA5LDYzMTQxMzc1OQ==/daivis-virbickas-56b9e381db397.jpg” style=”width: auto; height: auto;”/>

SNB / Daivis Virbickas

  19659007] "It is likely that during the repair period there may be short-term price fluctuations, but ( ...) the price is determined not only by the connections, but also by other factors Objectives, for example According to the Minister of Energy, NordBalt's repairs to domestic consumers will not be substantially affected. </p>
<p>  "With regard to the price situation, there is no doubt that wholesale prices are available to wholesale customers, but our individual consumers, especially consumers, are protected against rising prices. really want to ensure that there is no risk to individual consumers with rising prices during this period, "said Ž. </p>
<p>  Ramūnas Kiaulėnas, director of the Department of Public Utilities Energy Distribution (ESO), estimates that the repair of the connection will not affect the price of domestic consumer goods this year, but one can not exclude that & # 39; it responds to consumer spending in a year or two [19659012[TestdecompteurESOPhoto/oE"rel="happyimage"src="https://s215minlt/static/cache/NTcweCw1NjB4MTExLDYyNTM2NCxvcmlnaW5hbCwsaWQ9MjI5NjM0NyZkYXRlPTIwMTYlMkYwNyUyRjI2LDI0MjYxMzM1NTM=/eso-skaitikliu-tikrinimas-57975ecaa84f8jpg"style="width:auto;height:auto;"/></p>
<p> ESO Photo / OE Counter Test </p>
</p></div>
<p> " This year, NordBalt's domestic consumers have not been repaired at the price. However, changes in the price of electricity in the market affect the final electricity tariff in the coming years ", – BNS commented R.Kiaulėnas. </p>
<p>  He explains that if the # ESO, by buying electricity from the market, will increase its costs </p>
<p>  "Thus, prices for the year 2018 on the wholesale market could potentially affect domestic consumption rates for 2020 Until now, the price of electricity has been set at € 33.86 per megawatt (MWh) in the regulated power price of electricity in 2018, when in fact during the first 5 months, ESO bought an average of 29% of the wholesale market. He also noted that the price of the purchase price of electricity for the following year is based on the actual prices of the last 12 months on the wholesale market, so this year's prices will affect the price of 2019. </p>
<h2><strong>  "Elektrum Lietuva": not a good time for repairs </strong></h2>
<p>  Karolis Bagdonas, a subsidiary of the Latvenergo subsidiary of the Latvian energy group, Elektrum Lietuva, an independent electricity supplier, is convinced that the NordBalt connection will repair the electricity prices in the market. price rise due to the unfavorable moment: the water reservoirs decrease (in hydroelectricity – SNB), the more the heating season will not start at that time (the cogeneration plants will not produce electricity – SNB), all this will lead to price increases. Wind production is the largest in the fall, in November. The cable disconnect period is very different from one generation or another. Indeed, there will be a shortage of electricity in the market and the fact that prices will rise, "said Bagdad BNS </p>
<p>  He added that the forecast of price increases is difficult, but it is Clear that the change will be particularly business-sensitive.It is very difficult to predict that everything will depend on the supply-demand, at what heights, no one can say, since there was a case where the production was low in Lithuania, the price difference was between 30 and 200 euros per megawatt-hour How will these days, no one can say that … (…) For businesses, most for business (will be the Effect of BNS), "said Bagdonas. </p>
<p>  Ž. According to Vaičiūnas, solutions for local production are currently being considered, they will be devoted to "using our available production capacity to the extent possible so that repairs have the least possible impact on our market". </p>
<h2><strong>  Central Elektrenai and Kruonis HPS Darius Kucinas, production manager of Lietuvos Energija gamyba (LEG), managed by Lietuvos Energija, predicts that the price of North Pool in the Lithuanian zone should increase during repairs </p>
<p>  "Prices should be slightly higher – on this it can be concluded that prior to the commissioning of NordBalt, the price of electricity at the Lithuanian Nord Pool Stock Exchange was about 15% larger. At the same time, it must be emphasized that this price depends not only on the bandwidth of the NordBalt connection, but also on weather conditions and other electrical connections and repairs, "said Kucinas, BNS </p>
<p> . repair of NordBalt The LEG, which manages the Lithuanian Elektrėnai power station and the Kruonis pumping station (EDH), will operate in accordance with market conditions and seek to maximize the power of its power plants. market, thereby trying to contribute to a stable supply of energy. – in the current state of things, KCB (9th combined cycle block – SNB) and the 8th block will be ready to work if there is such a need. We are not evaluating the probabilities at the present time – we will work according to the existing possibilities when the market or the transmission network operator Litgrid will be needed, "said Kucinas, SNB </p>
<div clbad=  Photo by LEG / Electricity Complex

Photo by LEG / Elektrėnai Complex ” rel=”content-image” src=”https://s1.15min.lt/static/cache/NTcweCw5NjB4NTQwLDYxNjI0NixvcmlnaW5hbCwsaWQ9MTg2MjM5NSZkYXRlPTIwMTYlMkYwMiUyRjA5LDYzMTQxMzc1OQ==/daivis-virbickas-56b9e381db397.jpg” style=”width: auto; height: auto;”/>

He added that two units of the HPS Kruonis would be allocated to the secondary reserve – if needed a reserve, the order of the lighting would be given by Litgrid. In turn, LEG operates in the commercial market of the other two units of Kruonis HPP, which is a stock exchange and manufactures them when electricity is needed for the market.

"According to these principles, Kruonis HPP will work during the repairs of NordBalt", – explained Kucinas.

The 9th block of the Elektrenai plant this year is for the so-called tertiary reserve (260 MW of the total power of 455 MW). However, at the beginning of the year, the Price Commission authorized the use of the reserve service of the third residual reserve, which did not provide reserve service to third parties, for the use of the service. third-party residual reserve.

However, the board member of Lietuvos energija, Dominykas Tučkus, the power also depends on the air temperature – in summer, when it is warmer, the power of the block and, therefore, the power residual decreases. According to him, if the hot day would have a residual power of 140 MW, it would no longer be possible to submit the offer to the stock market because the block can not operate with such power.

Competitive prices will help maintain LitPol Link

The CEO of Litgrid D. Virbickas stresses that any decision regarding the production or consumption of energy must be decisive for the market and its participants and, in case of emergency, use the reserves to ensure reliable operation of the system. According to him, competitive prices will maintain the connections with Poland to LitPol Link

"In badessing the available production capacity and the remaining international connections, it can be concluded that the adequacy of the system will be ensured during the works The LitPol Link connector gives the market the opportunity to buy electricity at the most affordable prices, although the current price increases on the Polish market are dominated by the most competitive prices. export to Poland, the existing capacity of LitPol Link will maintain competitive prices in the market due to the decline in import prices in Scandinavia. "

Expert from Elektrum Lietuva. Bagdon, a rise in prices can already be seen when repairing the connection.He says a lot will depend on the price at which electricity imports from neighboring countries will be

"We know that Lithuania imports the bulk of electricity (…) will depend on the transport capacity of other countries, Lithuania, I doubt that this has a very strong impact on the Improvement, "said K. Bagdonas, SNB.

Repair of NordBalt from July 30

Repair of the NordBalt power plant at 700 MW, July 30-October 10 In a few days, the fasteners will be replaced, a total of 119 ground teams will be replaced, including 23 on the Lithuanian side. According to Litgrid, a more stable long-term link will result in lower market price volatility and lower supply risk.

NordBalt was recently disconnected at the end of February. In January, the connection did not work for a week – then the market jumped at nearly 118 euros, and at the peak of the morning – up to 200 euros per MWh. Later, prices stabilized.

According to Litgrid data, in the first quarter of this year, NordBalt's access to the market was 94%. (84% in the first quarter of 2017). Last year, 3.1 litas of electricity per hour (TWh) were imported via the connection, or 27%.

D. Virbickas said in May that the electrical connections with Sweden and Poland – NordBalt and LitPol Link – have helped Lithuanian consumers since 2016 to save Litl49 million.

According to him, the cost of repairing the connection will be borne by ABB, a Swedish cable manufacturer. She also built the connectors to Klaipeda and the Swedish Nibro.

550 million. The NordBalt cable, built in late 2015 at a cost of 453 kilometers, was launched early 2016.

According to Nord Pool, the price of electricity in the Lithuanian zone in June was 51.05 euros per MWh. In May the price was lower – EUR 43.69. A year ago, in June and May 2017, the price was even lower, respectively 38.36 and 32.46 euros.

In July 2017, Nord Pool electricity in the Lithuanian area averaged 36.27 euros, in August – 37.30, in September – 37.39, in October – 34.35 euros per MWh.

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