Palm fails to maintain rebound on weak demand prospects



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JAKARTA (Oct 30): Malaysian palm oil futures fell by the midday break on Tuesday, stepping back from a nearly 2% rebound a day earlier, as weak demand persisted while lower US soybean prices compounded the market’s woes.

The benchmark palm oil contract for January delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange was down 0.78% at RM2,170 (US$519.39) per tonne at the midday break.  

Palm failed to sustained the 1.8% gain posted a day earlier, breaking four consecutive losses last week.

Trading volume stood at 11,930 lots of 25 tonnes each at noon.

“Demand is not coming in, exports is still looking weak so it’s difficult to sustain gains,” said a palm oil trader in Kuala Lumpur.

Palm oil may end its current bounce around a resistance at RM2,202 per tonne and then resume its downtrend, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals. Palm may eventually travel to RM2,099.

Meanwhile, a weak soybean market also put pressure on palm oil, the trader said.

US soybean futures fell on Tuesday to hit a six-week low, as a USDA report putting harvesting ahead of market expectations added to pressure from abundant supplies and the US-China trade dispute.

The January soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 0.35% on Tuesday, while the Dalian January palm oil contract edged down 0.09%.

Palm oil prices are affected by movements of other edible oils as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oil market.    

Palm, soy and cured oil prices at 0518 GMT:

 

Contract          Month  Last    Change  Low     High    Volume
MY PALM OIL       NOV8     2056     -19    2055    2061     284
MY PALM OIL       DEC8     2118     -18    2116    2125    1730
MY PALM OIL       JAN9     2170     -17    2168    2177    5665
CHINA PALM OLEIN  JAN9     4656      -4    4652    4704  190228
CHINA SOYOIL      JAN9     5660     -20    5658    5736  235782
CBOT SOY OIL      DEC8    27.93    0.04   27.84   27.97    2466
INDIA PALM OIL    OCT8    574.2     0.1   573.8   574.7      22
INDIA SOYOIL      NOV8   755.25   -0.15     755   756.7    1170
NYMEX CRUDE       DEC8    67.24     0.2    66.6   67.24   34898

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in US cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in US dollars per barrel

(US$1 = 6.9678 Chinese yuan)
(US$1 = RM4.1780)
(US$1 = 73.5775 Indian rupees)

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