More than 2,600 cases, no new deaths



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Stephanie Innes

| Republic of Arizona

Arizona reported more than 2,600 new cases of COVID-19 on Monday and no known new deaths as hospitalizations continue to rise.

The continuing rise in cases and hospitalizations comes as Arizona’s healthcare system braces for pressures from a new wave of COVID-19, with the situation worsening both state and nationwide as Thanksgiving Thursday approaches. Intensive care units across the state were at 90% occupancy on Monday.

A report released Thursday by Arizona State University predicts that the current capacity of Arizona hospitals will be exceeded in December.

“Additional emergency public health interventions will be needed to control transmission and preserve health care capacity in Arizona,” the report said. “Without additional public health measures, the holiday gatherings are likely to cause an additional 600 to 1,200 COVID-19 deaths in Arizona by February 1 beyond the death projections of the current scenario.”

Gov. Doug Ducey said last week he would not impose a state-wide mask warrant, leaving individual jurisdictions to impose requirements.

The identified COVID-19 cases in Arizona increased from 2,659 Monday to 302,324. No new known deaths have been reported. The total number of known deaths is 6,464, according to the Arizona Department of Health Services daily report.

New cases have eclipsed 1,000 in 21 of the past 24 days, with 14 of those days seeing more than 2,000 new cases for the first time since the state’s summer surge. Sunday was the ninth time the state had reported more than 4,000 new cases in one day since the start of the pandemic (six days in late June and early July, plus Thursday, Friday and Sunday). The United States recently reported new record daily cases.

Rates of new cases in Arizona are lower than rates reported in 29 other states and Guam, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID Data Tracker. Cases are rising in North Dakota, where the rate of new cases per 100,000 people in the previous seven days was 167 on Sunday, the CDC reports. By comparison, Arizona’s rate was 44.4.

The increase in new COVID-19 cases in the summer was an early indicator of more hospitalizations and deaths in the coming weeks.

Ducey, at a press briefing on Wednesday, his first since Oct. 29, said the increase in COVID-19 in the state meant “getting back to normal is not in the cards at the moment “. But Ducey has not announced any new restrictions or requirements on Arizonans to stop the spread of COVID-19, despite growing calls in recent days for a statewide mask warrant and other measures.

The number of patients hospitalized statewide for known or suspected cases of COVID-19 was 2,008 on Sunday, the highest number reported since August 2. At the height of the Arizona outbreak in July, the number of hospitalized patients suspected or confirmed to have the virus exceeded 3,000.

The number of patients with suspected or known COVID-19 in intensive care units in Arizona was 438 on Saturday and Sunday, the highest number of intensive care beds used in a single day since August 14. The level is lower than it was in July. , when intensive care beds used for COVID-19 reached 970.

The number of Arizonans with confirmed and suspected COVID-19 on ventilators was 294 on Sunday, the highest number of ventilators used in a single day since August 13. As of mid-July, up to 687 patients across the state with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

Monday’s dashboard shows 87% of inpatient beds and 90% of intensive care beds in use, which includes people being treated for COVID-19 and other patients. COVID-19 patients used 23% of all inpatient beds and 27% of intensive care beds. Overall, 36% of the fans were on.

The percentage of positivity, which refers to the percentage of positive COVID-19 diagnostic tests, has increased, which many health experts see as an early indicator of a spike in illness.

Among the results of known diagnostic tests from last week, the percentage of positivity was 12%, down from 11% the week before, according to the state, which has a unique way of calculating the percentage of positivity. The percentage of positivity was 4% for several weeks in August, September and October, according to state data.

Johns Hopkins University calculates Arizona’s seven-day moving average of the percentage of positives at 18.5% on Monday. This shows that the state’s positivity percentage is on the rise.

A 5% positivity rate is considered a good benchmark for the spread of the disease to be under control.

What you need to know about Monday’s numbers:

Arizona reported cases: 302,324.

Cases have increased by 2,659, or 0.88%, from the 299,665 cases identified Sunday since the start of the epidemic.

Cases by County: 191,503 in Maricopa, 36,659 in Pima, 16,826 in Yuma, 15,345 in Pinal, 7,654 in Navajo, 6,988 in Coconino, 5,643 in Mohave, 4,921 Apache, 4,529 in Yavapai, 3,624 in Santa Cruz, 3,137 in Cochise, 2,631 in Gila, 1,933 in Graham, 750 in La Paz and 181 in Greenlee, according to state numbers.

The case rate per 100,000 population is highest in Yuma County, followed by Apache, Santa Cruz and Navajo counties. The rate in Yuma County is 7,317 cases per 100,000 population. For comparison, the average US rate on Sunday was 3,635 cases per 100,000 population, according to the CDC.

The Navajo Nation reported 15,039 confirmed cases and 631 deaths Thursday Saturday. The Navajo Nation includes parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah. Tribal leaders reinstated a three-week lockdown on the home from November 16 due to what officials called the “uncontrolled spread” of COVID-19 in tribal communities.

The Arizona Department of Corrections reported that 2,916 inmates tested positive for COVID-19 on Friday, including 1,055 in Tucson; 41,597 inmates statewide have been tested. A total of 937 prison staff have self-reported positive, the state Corrections Department said. Nineteen people incarcerated in Arizona have been confirmed to have died from COVID-19, and nine more deaths are under investigation.

While race / ethnicity is unknown for 29% of all COVID-19 cases statewide, 30% of cases are Hispanic or Latino, 28% are white, 6% are Native American, 3% are black and 1% are Asian / Pacific Islander.

Of those who have tested positive in Arizona since the start of the pandemic, 15% were under 20, 47% were between 20 and 44, 15% were between 45 and 54, 11% were between 55 and 64 and 12% were over 65.

Laboratories performed 2,124,873 diagnostic tests for COVID-19, of which 10.3% came back positive. This number now includes both PCR and antigen testing. The percentage of positive tests had increased since mid-May but began to decline in July and remained stable around 4% for several weeks, according to the state. Last week it was 12%, compared to 11% and 9% the previous two weeks. State numbers omit data from laboratories that do not electronically report.

ADHS has started to include probable cases such as anyone who tests positive for antigen, another type of test to determine current infection. Antigen testing (not related to antibody testing) is a new type of COVID-19 diagnostic test that uses a nasal swab or other fluid sample to test for current infection. Results are usually produced within 15 minutes.

A positive antigen test result is considered very accurate, but there is an increased risk of false negative results, according to the Mayo Clinic. Depending on the situation, Mayo Clinic officials say a doctor may recommend a PCR (polymerase chain reaction) test to confirm a negative antigen test result.

Arizona had the 25th highest overall infection rate in the country. North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Utah, Idaho, Montana, Illinois, Tennessee, Mississippi, Arkansas, Wyoming, Alabama, Minnesota, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Kansas are ahead of Arizona. , Rhode Island, Missouri, Nevada, Indiana, Florida and Georgia, according to the CDC.

Arizona’s infection rate is 4,118 cases per 100,000 people, according to the CDC. The national average is 3,635 cases per 100,000 population, although rates in hard-hit states at the start of the pandemic may be undercounted due to the lack of available tests in March and April.

Deaths reported: 6,464

Deaths by County: 3896 in Maricopa, 674 in Pima, 375 in Yuma, 267 in Navajo, 251 in Pinal, 251 in Mohave, 193 in Apache, 164 in Coconino, 107 in Yavapai, 87 in Gila, 78 in Cochise, 68 in Santa Cruz, 33 in Graham, 18 in La Paz and under three in Greenlee.

People aged 65 and over accounted for 4,620 of the 6,464 deaths, or 71%. Subsequently, 16% of deaths concerned the 55 to 64 age group, 7% of 45 to 54 years and 6% of 20 to 44 years.

While race / ethnicity is unknown for 11% of deaths, 43% of those who died were White, 29% were Hispanic or Latino, 11% were Native American, 3% were black, and 1% were Asian / Islander Pacific state data show.

The worldwide death toll as of Monday morning was 1,390,516 and the United States had the highest death toll of any country in the world, at 256,830, according to Johns Hopkins University. Arizona’s total death toll of 6,464 deaths represents 2.51% of COVID-19 deaths in the United States on Monday.

Arizona’s COVID-19 death rate was 90 per 100,000 people on Sunday, according to the CDC, placing it 11th in the country in a state ranking that separates New York and New York state. The US average is 77 deaths per 100,000 people, according to the CDC.

Behind New York City, with 288 deaths per 100,000 population, the CDC places the highest death rates ahead of Arizona like New Jersey, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Louisiana, Mississippi, Rhode Island, North Dakota, the District of Columbia and Illinois.

Contact healthcare reporter Stephanie Innes at [email protected] or 602-444-8369. Follow her on Twitter @stephanieinnes

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