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Vladimir Kramnik on the match
The 14th World Champion has himself been involved in a decisive game – the first after the introduction of the rules that decided his 2006 match against Veselin Topalov. On Tuesday, he answered questions about the match as a whole, especially about Match 12, and what to look for in Wednesday's deciding game.
Who has the best chance?
"Magnus is the favorite in this decisive game, but you never know.You must not underestimate Fabiano.This is not a bad quick chess player.This is not his strong point, but he is strong enough to lead a serious fight and even win under favorable circumstances. " I would evaluate the odds to 60/40 but no more … It was a very respectable performance in all cases [for Caruana]. "
On his disappointment with the treatment of the match by Magnus:
"It could have been a great fantasy match with a lot of tension." If Magnus had been more aggressive in nature, it could have been one of the biggest matches of chess.
When you want to win, you focus and you usually find a way to win. This has nothing to do with chess, it's more than you are wanting to find a way. This kind of energy, winning energy, he lacked. It was so simple in the first game already. He played very well and, while it was already practically practical – it was very easy – he started making some strange decisions. It was a reflection of his state of mind not perfect for the match.
Even though he wins the tie-break, it's a very equal match, there's absolutely no evidence that he's better than Fabiano. Of course, it's not bad either, but it's very important to show that I'm world champion and that I'm really the best player. "
On the game 12
"I understand that he was happy to have drawn before the match.It is normal.But when you have a position that is one way … it was practically a winner. How not to try to seize this opportunity You have a great chance, you have to go in. Even if you are happy for a draw, you must play to win if the position allows it.
There was no risk. If you do not want to take the the least risk, you should not play because you can still blunder a piece, but if you do not make a bad mistake there was no risk. And an error that you can commit anywhere – fast failures for example.
Even the final position if you play up the time control, humanly, it seems extremely unpleasant for the white. Even the last shot [31…]Ra8 This is the worst time to offer a draw because White has a very difficult decision to take at the moment and he was already running out of time. "
"The decisions are pretty difficult for White, because Black has a clear plan, and if I understand correctly, he wants to play Ra6, Rfa8, then probably a3, b3, Rb6 and the tactics will come in. So White really has to think about what he's going to do. should do and he has little time on the counter and a lot of tactical motives possible.He can go at some point Qa3 but some Rb8 and b5 may be coming – b5 also a very serious problem.In the worst case, White manage everything and he just builds a fortress OK, a fortress shoots.
It may be too much to talk about a "nervous breakdown", but he simply could not stand the pressure of the match. In this particular position, you can not do it as a practical player … In my opinion, even in the last position, his chances of winning are quite high.
I can not imagine doing that a few years ago. "
The key to separation
Kramnik thinks that the most important factor will be how players will manage to control their nerves and adopt the right psychological approach depending on the circumstances, as the game unfolds.
"It's very important, first of all, to have this desire to win – this small but [nervousness] to be fully alert, to be a little nervous – not too much – but to be in this kind of very energetic state of mind. "
The main difficulty of Caurana, according to Kramnik, is to find his rhythm and to prevent himself from being too late on the clock. Fast and lightning time management is one of Carlsen's strengths.
The openings are more important for Fabiano:
"It's very important to get your job types. It is quite clear that some positions that are not really of the genre or that he has not studied enough, he could start to err – as in the last match – he takes a lot of time and he can not find the best parts configuration. Magnus is usually better at this. In almost every type of job, he can quickly understand the deeper meaning. For Fabi, it's more difficult. "
What is very important for both players, but especially for Fabiano today, is to have a very well thought out plan for what he will do. [in various cases that may arise in the match.]"
In other words, Caruana must have found a way to react, whether he is in front, behind or that the match is neutral, that he has the weapons in his hand and that he is able to adjust his grip. risk and risk aversion accordingly. It's a lot easier if you've drawn a plan in your mind in advance rather than having to make difficult decisions on the fly.
"For Fabi, he is not the favorite and to win, he must use all his chances, he must make everything perfect – which is not impossible – but it required thoughtful preparation.
Magnus just needs to get rid of this fear of losing the title. Otherwise, he will not have to do much. "
Kramnik observed how Caruana fought against White and suggested that for the decisive start, he will have to either find new concrete ideas or make more radical changes. With Black, he's fine – no change needed.
"It is clear that he will not win the decisive point if he can not turn Whites into his favor … he must at least put pressure – to win, it's at least ask problems, not just stay there and defend. "
The way the game 12 is completed helps Caruana:
"Frankly, I think Fabi was already thinking that the decisive point would not happen again … It's a big relief that you have at least a chance." I'm pretty sure he was ready for the worst in this game. "For Magnus, I do not think it will change much." He had what he wanted, he had a draw.
I can see that this has turned the public very significantly in favor of Caruana. Most of the public will be for him, rooted for him. I think it really helps. You can not explain it scientifically, but as the home field advantage is very important in football … psychologically it is useful because it has had more supporters. More people want him to win than before match 12.
Fabi is fighting well. He just can not get his hands on the opponent, but at least he does his best and he does his best, he fights and we can not say anything critical about him. He does what he can and he does it with honor.
Twitterverse's reactions
Opinions were divided on the merits of Carlsen's strategy, although it certainly elicited a lot of criticism, not only for the sporting decision itself, but also for the optics. impact on perception of failures by wider failures – interested public.
In light of this shocking pulling offer from Magnus occupying a higher position with more time, I reconsider my assessment that he is the favorite of the rapids. Tie-breakers require huge nerves and he seems to lose his.
– Garry Kasparov (@ Kasparov63) November 26, 2018
If he does not win the play-offs, he will never be defeated. If he wins, he will be forgiven fairly quickly, as in New York.
– JB (@Berlin_Endgame) November 26, 2018
Time for a reality check
Magnus has an opportunity, win, lose or draw, for a great self-awareness:
"Whatever the outcome of the game, he should start thinking a little, asking himself some questions: Why does he play chess, does he really like that, what does he want to chess?"
It seems like he just wants to keep his title and get rid of this game one way or another.
I understand that it may sound hard, but I think I have the right at least as a [former World Champion] that it was really fake – wrong in the human sense – in the sense of chess too, he had no risk and he was even better and he had a chance to win that match if he would have continued . But wrong in a higher sense. We know that Magnus is a great fighter. He has always played to the end, always ready to fight, and that's one of the reasons he has so many friends and fans around the world. Yesterday I think he's lost a lot. Not only is it a world championship match – and it is the responsibility to produce something, to fight – but also for itself. It's like a sign that something is wrong and it does not matter whether he wins the match or not.
In fact, I do not even know what will be better for him as a person. Maybe losing would not be so bad now. This could give him time and opportunity to rethink some things. For me, he is going in the wrong direction … he has to think deeply about some global issues.
Of course, chess has also lost a lot. It was a blow yesterday, this offer of draw. People are very disappointed … Being world champion is also a responsibility and I think he was not acting under the circumstances. In every sense, it was a clear signal that something is wrong.
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