Intermediate: How the result of the election will affect Trump

US voters will choose new members in the House of Representatives and in the Senate on Tuesday, both houses of Congress. The entire House of Representatives is in elections, while in the Senate only one-third of the seats are available.

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Professor Mark A. Peterson of the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) is well advanced.

"I feel it's the most important middleman in my life – a choice that will put Trump's vision of a nationalist and exclusive America on hold, or give it extra speed," Peterson told VG. .

He thinks that US policy in 2018 is very divided and speaks of two fundamentally different versions of the direction that the United States will take. One, he thinks, is about to include. The other to exclude.

– This is well the exclusion of immigrants, but it also signals that there is a difference between "us" and those who are colored, non-Christians, the poor, those who support the # MeToo movement and those that do not fit into traditional genre categories, to name a few. Peterson believes that we have never seen such things in modern times.

Folklore on Trump

Erikson and him say that, which means that the 435 members of the House of Representatives of Congress are about to be elected, and that just over a third of the Senate members should be considered a referendum on the current president. However, as they both point out, this applies to all intermediaries. Especially those who enter the first period of the president.

"This is the first opportunity for voters to show what they think of what the President has accomplished up to now, their behavior, their reaction to unexpected events and what's going on." Really happened compared to all the rhetoric of the election campaign, "Peterson said.

What will be the result, we probably will not know until the night of Wednesday at the Norwegian time. Although he does not want to predict anything, Professor Erikson points out that the incumbent president usually loses the choice of the center, not least because voters tend to be more critical of the ruling party.

"Then, the popularity of the president will have a huge impact on the scale of the decline, because there will usually be a decline unless the president is extremely popular, as we have seen with George W. Bush in 2002, just one year after 9/11, says Erikson.

The popularity of Trump is far from the level reached by Bush at this time. So the question is whether it is popular enough to prevent the decline from being so important that Republicans lose the current majority in any of the congressional offices.

Perhaps the end of Trump's program

Most predictions in advance are that Democrats will be able to win back the House of Representatives, but not the Senate. According to Professor Peterson, this will be the end of the Trump and Republican program at the moment.

"I do not know what President Trump will do in such circumstances, one of the possibilities is that he's going to the Democrats to try to find some common ground on some issues," said Peterson, who said also expressed doubts that Trump would be successful with the unpopular as he is among the Democrats.

"Another possibility is that, furious with a defeat, he goes even further in his authoritarian tendencies," continues Peterson.

Robert S. Erikson thinks the majority Democrats in the House will try to conduct various investigations against the President, not to mention of course stopping most of his bills, but he does not think they will try to bring him to justice .

"Not even, there is clear evidence, for example, in the investigation of Russia that he has committed something illegal," said the professor.

That Democrats win the Senate without simultaneously winning the House of Representatives, they do not see professors as likely because, in this case, it would mean that voters took different directions in both elections. Then chances are bigger that they win both.

"With the majority in the Senate, Democrats will also be able to stop Trump's appointments," Erikson said.

May cause a more extreme asset

More likely, it is likely that Republicans retain power in both chambers. In the Senate, only nine of the 35 seats in the election today are occupied by Republicans. This means that Democrats have many more seats to lose. The two professors of VG saw a brave Donald Trump, who would feel very strong if he kept a majority in both places.

"Potential opponents within the party will be ready to do what he wants even more than today," Erikson said.

Peterson agrees. He then sees a Republican party that will be a full-fledged party of Trump, where the president feels empowered to run an even more extreme program.

The two chambers will still have a small majority for Republicans, so it will always be difficult to form coalitions to pass controversial laws, but Trump and the Republicans will certainly try, "said Peterson, who still believes that 39 they will continue to insert a large number of conservative judges into federal courts.

"There is a lot to see in such a scenario, and many are at the opposite of what we are used to from modern American politics," Peterson concludes.