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OHA model: If current level of transmission continues, cases will increase ‘exponentially’ in coming weeks
PORTLAND, Ore. (KTVZ) – There are 19 new COVID-19 deaths in Oregon, including an 87-year-old man from Deschutes County, bringing the state’s death toll to over 3,000, at 3,012, the Oregon Health Authority reported on Friday.
“Today we mark another sad milestone in the pandemic: our 3,000th death from COVID-19,” said OHA Director Patrick Allen.
“We mourn for every person lost to the virus,” Allen said. “I offer my deepest condolences to every family who has mourned a parent, brother or child who died of the disease. Each death reminds us of the devastating personal impact COVID-19 has on all of us.
“Our sadness is compounded by the realization that these deaths are increasingly preventable. We know that the vaccines available offer a reliable protective shield against serious illness and death from COVID-19. These vaccines save lives every day, and I urge all Oregonians who have not yet received the vaccine to please make a vaccine plan.
The OHA also reported 2,187 new confirmed and suspected COVID-19 cases as of 12:01 a.m. Friday, bringing the state total to 252,977.
Latest COVID-19 modeling report predicts greater increase in daily cases and hospitalizations
The Oregon Health Authority released its latest COVID-19 forecast on Friday, which forecasts the possibility of ever-higher hospitalizations and daily cases associated with COVID-19 through September 7.
According to the model, the effective reproduction rate – the expected number of secondary cases generated by a single case – was estimated at 1.58 until July 14, more than double the 0.74 reported until mid-July. June.
At that same level of transmission, over the next two weeks, daily cases would increase “exponentially,” according to the report. The report predicts a possible increase to 1,750 cases per 100,000 people, or about 5,250 cases and 300 new hospitalizations per day between August 25 and September 7.
According to the report, vaccine immunity offers a level of protection three times higher than natural immunity.
These planned increases can be minimized if people adopt the protective measures of wearing masks in indoor public spaces and getting vaccinated against COVID-19, according to the report.
To date, more than 2.5 million Oregonians have received at least one dose of the safe and highly effective vaccine, and more than 2.3 million have completed a series of vaccines.
Vaccinations in Oregon
The OHA reported on Friday that 9,559 new doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been added to the state’s immunization registry. Of that total, 2,650 were initial doses and 1,401 were second doses given on Thursday. The other 4,790 were administered the previous days but were recorded Thursday in the vaccine register.
Oregon has now administered 2,746,350 first and second doses of Pfizer, 1,820,789 first and second doses of Moderna, and 192,535 single doses of Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine.
As of Friday, 2,574,229 people had received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine and 2,365,495 people had completed a series of COVID-19 vaccines.
It may take several days for the cumulative daily totals to be finalized, as providers have 72 hours to report doses administered and technical issues have resulted in delays in providing updated information from providers. The OHA provided technical support to vaccination sites to improve the timeliness of data entry into the state’s ALERT Immunization Information System (IIS).
These data are preliminary and subject to change.
Updated immunization data is provided on Oregon’s COVID-19 Data Dashboards and was updated on Friday.
COVID-19 hospitalizations
The number of hospital patients with COVID-19 in Oregon is 866, up 21 from Thursday. There are 241 COVID-19 patients in intensive care unit (ICU) beds, up 15 from Thursday.
As of Friday morning, there were 39 adult intensive care beds available out of a total of 670 (6% uptime) and 363 non-ICU adult beds available out of 4,222 (9% uptime).
The total number of patients in hospital beds may fluctuate between reporting times. Figures do not reflect admissions per day or length of hospital stay. Staff limitations are not captured in this data and may further limit bed capacity.
As of Friday morning, St. Charles Bend reported 59 patients with COVID-19, 12 of whom were in intensive care, all 12 on ventilators.
More information on hospital capacity can be found here.
Cases and deaths
The new confirmed and suspected COVID-19 cases reported on Friday are in the following counties: Baker (7), Benton (19), Clackamas (74), Clatsop (35), Columbia (32), Coos (47), Crook (13), Curry (28), Deschutes (147), Douglas (168), Gilliam (2), Grant (4), Harney (19), Hood River (12), Jackson (148), Jefferson (13), Josephine (125), Klamath (40), Lane (240), Lincoln (32), Linn (108), Malheur (15), Marion (164), Morrow (12), Multnomah (235), Polk (34), Sherman (2), Tillamook (36), Umatilla (94), Union (17), Wallowa (5), Wasco (39), Washington (176), Yamhill (45).
REMARK: The 2,983rd and 2,984th deaths associated with COVID-19 in Oregon, reported on August 19, are the same person. Due to this error, the OHA renumbered its reported deaths, starting with 2,994 on Friday.
The 2,994th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is an 87-year-old man from Deschutes County who tested positive on August 11 and died on August 19 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
The 2,995th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is an 87-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive on August 16 and died on August 19 at his residence. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 2,996th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 70-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive on August 4 and died on August 15 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
The 2,997th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is an 86-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive on August 2 and died on August 13 at Providence Willamette Falls Medical Center. He had underlying conditions.
The 2,998th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 74-year-old man from Clackamas County who tested positive on July 25 and died on July 31 at Providence St Vincent Medical Center. He had underlying conditions.
The 2,999th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is an 87-year-old woman from Douglas County who tested positive on August 10 and died on August 19 at Mercy Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,000th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 79-year-old man from Klamath County who tested positive on August 13 and died on August 19 at Sky Lakes Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,001st death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 62-year-old man from Klamath County who tested positive on July 26 and died on August 12 at Sky Lakes Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,002nd death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 62-year-old woman from Josephine County who tested positive on August 19 and died on August 19 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,003rd death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is an 81-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 12 and died on August 19 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
The 3,004th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 64-year-old woman from Josephine County who tested positive on August 8 and died on August 18 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,005th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 95-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 3 and died on August 19 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
The 3,006th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 65-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on August 4 and died on August 18 at Asante Three Rivers Medical Center. He had no underlying condition.
The 3,007th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 100-year-old man from Josephine County who tested positive on July 31 and died on August 16 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
The 3,008th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is an 80-year-old man from Umatilla County who tested positive on August 3 and died on August 5 at Oregon Health and Sciences University Hospital. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,009th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 67-year-old man from Multnomah County who tested positive on July 5 and died on August 19 at Legacy Emanuel Medical Center. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,010th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 62-year-old man from Union County who tested positive on August 10 and died on August 17 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
The 3,011th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 96-year-old man from Polk County who tested positive on August 1 and died on August 18 in a hospital in Salem. The presence of underlying conditions is confirmed.
The 3,012th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon is a 95-year-old woman from Wasco County who tested positive on August 5 and died on August 14 at her residence. She had underlying conditions.
REMARK: Updated information is available for the 2,282nd death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon. He’s a 78-year-old man from Umatilla County. He was originally reported as a resident of Washington County.
Updated information is available for the 1,769th death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon. He’s a 69-year-old man from Umatilla County. Additional information is also known about the 1,822nd death associated with COVID-19 in Oregon. He’s a 64-year-old man from Umatilla County. Both were originally reported as residents of Malheur County.
Learn more about COVID-19 vaccines
To learn more about the COVID-19 vaccine situation in Oregon, visit our webpage (in English or Spanish), which features a distribution breakdown and other information.
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