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LOS ANGELES – It will be the foreign disruptive film.
No, the film on the road trip of the era of segregation locked him up.
This is the infiltration film in the Ku Klux Klan by Spike Lee.
Or could the Marvel blockbuster remove it?
Forget the pool at the Oscars For the first time in memory, Hollywood has no idea which film will win the best picture at the Academy Awards. "Roma, "" Green Book "," Black Panther "and" BlacKkKlansman "are all plausible winners, say studio executives. The prize could also be awarded to a black candidate – "Bohemian Rhapsody", perhaps – because of a voting system in which the top ranked candidates are ranked from one to eight, and the positions of second and third places can have as much weight as first place.
Usually, a movie dominates pre-Oscar galas, indicating where the race will end. But not this year. "Roma", especially seen on Netflix, has been named best film by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. "Green Book" garnered the big trophy at the Producers Guild of America Prediction Ceremony. The powerful guild of screen actors has thrown its weight behind "Black Panther". "BlacKkKlansman" led an aggressive campaign.
[[[[Spike Lee's Tribute to Prince at the Oscars.]
The Oscars broadcast themselves in the atmosphere of uncertainty. For the first time in 30 years, there will be more moderator – Kevin Hart resigned in front of a new scrutiny of his anti-gay ramblings on Twitter. And the academy bounced from one crash to the next during the preparations. Will the 91st ceremony at Dolby Theater go smoothly, as promised by the producers? Or will TV broadcast be like Rob Lowe and Snow White: Part 2?
It's anyone who guesses.
A particularly competitive year in the actress categories
Improving women's roles through Hollywood has led to a particularly competitive year in the categories of best actress and supporting actresses.
After winning the Golden Globes and SAG Awards, Glenn Close, nominated for playing the role of a beloved wife in "The Wife," is the favorite to win the award for best actress. Many people in Hollywood feel that Close – the most Oscar-nominated live artist never win – is late for his turn on the stage. This is his seventh appointment. Olivia Colman, nominated for the first time for playing the lone queen in the movie "The Favorite", won the Bafta.
Professional forecasters are divided into supporting actress. Variety Awards Columnist is waiting for voters to support Regina King, named for her energetic mother in the art drama "If Beale Street Could Talk". The Hollywood Reporter, for its part, called the race to Amy Adams, accused of playing Lynne Cheney in "Vice." Like Close, Adams has never won, although he has won six nominations over the years.
Could this be Spike Lee's year?
Alfonso Cuarón, the force behind "Roma", based on his childhood in Mexico, could easily win the title of best director. He had already won the title in the category in 2014 for "Gravity". If his name is called, it will be the fifth time in six years that a Mexican filmmaker triumphs in the category. Besides Cuarón, Guillermo Del Toro and Alejandro González Iñárritu were victorious.
But some people in Hollywood think that Lee, who directed and co-wrote "BlacKkKlansman," also has a chance. Lee has never won a competitive Oscar in his singular career – it's the first time he's been appointed for the staging – and he campaigned hard, making a few brief appearances on television as the vote entered his home stretch.
"Spider-Man" against Disney
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences began awarding an Oscar for animated feature film in 2001, and one company, Disney, won 70% of the vote, including the last six years.
But the best animation film could come out of the studio this year.
Sony Pictures, which has worked hard to develop its animation business, is about to win for his stylized "Spider-Man: Towards the Spider-Verse."
Disney could, however, disturb. "Incredibles 2", from the Pixar division of the company, is also a serious candidate.
Whatever the outcome of the animation, it is unlikely that Disney will leave the ceremony without at least a bit of gold. Pixar's "Bao" with a A dumpling that comes alive and directed by Domee Shi will surely win the best animated short film.
Certainty in the midst of chaos
There are safe bets. Rami Malek, for example, is the favorite to win the title of Best Actor in his role of Freddie Mercury in "Bohemian Rhapsody", after collecting trophy after trophy, on the way to the Oscars. Look for the Queen musical drama to get the best sound mix.
There is no doubt that Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson and their fellow composers of "Shallow" will be called to the stage for the best song. Gaga, also nominated for her lead role in "A Star Is Born", will perform "Shallow" at the ceremony, accompanied by her co-star Bradley Cooper, nominated several times.
The trio of experts who turned Christian Bale into Dick Cheney into "Vice" should win Oscars for his achievements in makeup and hairstyling.
The nominees are diverse. Let's see the winners.
The reason why it has become more difficult to predict the Oscars is partly related to the number of members of the organization, which has grown rapidly – especially abroad – in order to make the electoral group less populated with white men. The leaders of the academies are delighted with their progress, which could lead to a more inclusive group of laureates.
A win for Lee would be the first time that a black filmmaker has won Best Director Oscar. Hannah Beachler, nominated for her "Black Panther" production project, and Ruth E. Carter, costume leader for "Black Panther", may well end the night as the first African-Americans to win in their category .
And "Roma", shot in Spanish and Mixtec, would be the first foreign-language film to reign as the best picture.
All eyes on Netflix
In many ways, this year's best image race has become a referendum on Netflix, which has never won.
In Hollywood, not everyone sees Netflix as an enemy – certainly not when the company has stepped up its filming business, to counter the slowdown of traditional studios such as 20th Century Fox. In the future, Netflix intends to release about 90 films a year, including documentaries. Maybe specialized films like "Roma" will not need an extended theatrical release? The cultural tide has clearly switched to streaming.
"Roma", with 10 overall nominations, is not the only Netflix movie to vie for the Oscars. "The Ballad of Buster Scruggs", screenwriter-directors Joel and Ethan Coen, compete in the categories of adapted screenplay, song and costume design. And a short documentary Netflix titled "Period. End of Sentence. ", Which counts Ms. Taback as a producer, could pick up a trophy. The film follows women from rural India who are fighting against menstrual stigma by making sanitary napkins.
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