Oil could reach $ 200 if the United States and Iran go to war, according to an analyst

<img alt = "SÃO PAULO – A possible war between the United States and Iran could drive oil up to $ 200 due to the closure of one of the busiest shipping lanes In the world, the price of the barrel of brent is currently about US $ 73, which would result in a 174% increase if the projection materializes.

The valuation is done by John Kilduff, founding partner of the Capital Again hedge fund. He explains that Brent – the international benchmark for oil prices – is on track for $ 90 a barrel because President Donald Trump is unlikely to take many sanctions already issued.

Iran opted for the "nuclear option" to close the Strait of Ormuz, a barrel of oil could be worth several hundred dollars. "The figures for a blockade or any kind of military upheaval or situation in the Strait of Ormuz will only be the beginning. Choose your number – $ 150, $ 200 – will increase […] Because we are talking about Despite the risk, Admiral James Stavridis, former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO, has already stated that he was certain that the US military and his Gulf allies could reopen the strait in a matter of days.On Sunday evening, Trump threatened Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on Twitter, saying his country would "suffer consequences like those of Iran," he said. he said in a statement that few have ever suffered in history "he was threatening the United States again. The post was a response to the comments of the Iranian leader, who urged Washington not to play with fire, because starting a conflict with Tehran would represent "the mother of all wars."

Relations between the two countries have deteriorated Maybe this year when Trump withdrew the United States from the nuclear deal, which provided that Iran would commit to limiting its activities nuclear weapons in exchange for a reduction in international sanctions.

This weekend, Iran renewed its threats to close the Strait of Ormuz, the world's largest sea crossing for crude oil shipments. Rouhani mentioned the strait in his speech Sunday, and Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on Saturday approved the president's threat to close the bottleneck if US sanctions hinder Iranian exports. fire oil.

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