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A confrontation "that blinks first", the power plant for some time and now in a sharp phase, near the break of the car.
For some time, I have witnessed ALDE's dissenting acts in favor of major projects for the PSD and in particular for Liviu Dragnea. For example, the offshore law or the way the ALDE held Tudorel Toader's teeth when the PSD was determined to remove him from the government. It was then the first time that the CPT showed the cat: we can not meet without the others. And the worst of all ALDE refuses amnesty.
I have said it many times, it is not a principled refusal. Never. ALDE has little respect for justice as the PSD. But, from an electoral point of view, amnesty is a bomb. I am convinced that the PSD and ALDE both know that their loyal constituents do not want it, especially since out of 9,000 released by compensatory appeal, 6,000 have committed new acts. , some of which terrifying, such as the attack of a girl from the neighborhood. , in Alba Iulia.
No matter who votes, there are not many Romanians who want to open the doors of the kidnappings, especially since many have already realized that it was impossible to make a surgical selection, especially when We are talking about the amnesty of the facts with heavy punishments, even for 10 years, as discussed, to catch Valcov and Voiculescu.
Acts committed with great violence, likely to be excluded from the amnesty, are not only dangerous for the citizen. Do we want thieves or people guilty of street fraud, for example? And if someone commits a robbery, once released, why not indulge in a robbery? The more these intelligent acts encourage offenders.
The stakes are the amnesty
The difference is that if the PSD knows it but does not know because the escape is the first, Tariceanu wants to be President of Romania and is aiming for his own escape a greater presidential immunity than the l '. amnesty.
Another difference is that ALDE knows that it will be expelled from ALDE Europe in the seconds following the amnesty, if it supports it. In fact, in European countries, amnesty hardly exists. I recently spoke to a reporter from Der Spiegel, who does not even remember such a step in Germany.
Amnesty is only justified when the regime changes and the problem of political prisoners needs to be resolved. And in no case the problem of self-delusion.
In addition, CP Tariceanu has no interest in helping Dragnea, while his downfall is politically beneficial to him, as without a strong leader, the PSD would enter power struggles and his electorate would go to presidential elections. the argument will argue.
For Liviu Dragnea, amnesty is urgently needed now. Not just for your own sake, because, how, the call to the Bombonica file will always start and end.
But let's say that he still has time. That's why it's allowed to play the theme and not speed up to the ground. Especially because he suspected that once this goal was reached, he should set himself as the main beneficiary and be devoured by the party to escape political sanction.
But the party gave its ultimatum at the end of this year. Nobody thinks he can not, but just does not want to. I've seen lately firm signals from the party, especially from Codrin Stefanescu. They do not proclaim an amnesty, but I demand it, I insist, at all costs, to slip the bag on my neck like never before.
Dragnea thought he had caught Tariceanu in the bribe file and had conditioned his girlfriend to maintain immunity in exchange for an amnesty, political sources said. For the moment, the CPT seems to have refused, and even sent Norica Nicolai, incarceration against the junta, announce that ALDE had refused the amnesty.
According to political sources, Tariceanu said that he was ready to break up the coalition, so Dragnea could challenge those firm messages. Of course, it is hard to believe that he is really willing to disengage the party from the public resource and assume the anathematization that would follow that decision, as Crin Antonescu has endured.
But is Dragnea willing to take risks?
Most of his power lies in what he has to share, his duties and his money, which depend on the maintenance of his power.
If he loses these levers, he is politically finished and the party tore him up. There is also a motion of censure that it is not good to have the adversity of a part of the coalition in addition to adversaries of the opponents.
In turn, is Tariceanu really willing to risk losing immunity and criminal prosecution? Delay at the Legal Commission is a blackmail almost on the side of Liviu Dragnea.
And Tariceanu still has an interesting ally in amnesty. Viorica Dancila. The Prime Minister also said that he did not want to promulgate the ordinance and that it was clear that he would be immediately replaced because, obviously, they could no longer go to Europe with such an act.
In brackets, many wondered what prompted Orlando Teodorovich to emulate the enormity of the limitation of the right to work in each country. According to PSD sources, he took the hour of death to enter the grace of "Daddy" by saying what he likes to hear, just name him Prime Minister.
The question of the moment is therefore to know which of the two will blink first, Dragnea renouncing the amnesty of the fear of dissolution of the coalition or Tariceanu accepting the amnesty for fear of losing immunity . This is why the government and the amnesty depend on it.
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