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According to Boeing's latest forecast, airlines around the world will need 42,700 new aircraft worth $ 6.3 trillion over the next 20 years, compared with 41,030 new aircraft. The US estimates that 31,360 new aircraft, compared with the previous estimate of 29,530 new aircraft, will be delivered to the monocular segment, the "dairy cow". (Boeing and Airbus) and also the most popular type of plane for low cost airlines. Boeing also improved its global demand for 980 freight aircraft from new aircraft to 920 aircraft a year ago amid the growth of e-commerce, especially in China.
Instead, Boeing revised down estimates for large aircraft, with 140 units, up to 8,070 aircraft. Boeing's estimates of demand for regional aircraft also declined, up to 2,320 deliveries.
Boeing Vice President Randy Tinseth emphasized that Boeing's forecast could be revised if regional aircraft become more efficient or if their operating costs are reduced. "Whenever this happens, the demand will go where the lowest cost is possible," Randy Tinseth said.
Boeing's estimates highlight the aerospace industry's dependence on emerging markets in general and China in particular, making the US aircraft manufacturer vulnerable to a possible escalation of trade tensions between Washington and China. Last year, nearly a quarter of Boeing's aircraft were delivered to Chinese customers, one of the fastest growing aerospace markets in the world.
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