Turkey: Erdogan's five diplomatic challenges



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Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who begins a new five-year term on Monday, should continue to print his pugnacious style to Ankara's foreign policy, even though observers do not rule out the search for compromise. [19659002ThemonthsleadinguptohisvictoryintheJune24electionsweremarkedbysharptensionsbetweenAnkaraandWesterncountriesinparallelwitharapprochementbetweenErdoganandRussianPresidentVladimirPutin

Here are the five Main Challenges for Erdogan during his New Mandate

Relations with the United States

Relations between Turkey and the United States, which possess the two largest armies of NATO, are complicated by disagreements over the Syrian file and the fate of a Turkish preacher exiled in America, which Ankara urges extradition p for his alleged involvement in the failed coup of July 2016.

Washington's support for the YPG's Kurdish Syrian militia has stretched the reports, with Ankara seeing in this armed group a "terrorist" organization that threatens its borders. [19659003] million. Erdogan, who needs his ultra-nationalist allies to retain his parliamentary majority, is likely to maintain a hard line on the issue, said researcher Soner Cagaptay of the Washington Institute of Near East Policy.

However, analysts believe that the United States United are ready to make concessions despite tensions, as shown by the delivery of first F-35 aircraft to Turkey last week.

Russia

From the beginning in 2011 of the crisis ravaging neighboring Syria, Turkey has actively supported opponents seeking to overthrow Bashar al-Assad, and refused any direct dialogue with Damascus.

But, faced with the overflow of conflict with the influx of more than Three million refugees and the presence of armed groups on its border, Ankara intervenes militarily today in Syria and wants to accelerate the return of the Syrians in their country.

Aaron Stein, of the Atlantic Council, underlines that Turkey has already found a "formula" with the Assad regime, passing through Moscow and setting aside any inclination to support a regime change.

The Turks "accepted the maintenance of the regime in power, but they are determined to me to set up their own zone of influence along the border to serve as a buffer, "he explains.

The European Union

Reports between Turkey and the European Union have been particularly tumultuous since the attempted coup against Erdogan in July 2016: Ankara has since conducted merciless purges that are causing concern in Brussels.

However, Ozdem Sanberk, a veteran of Turkish diplomacy, is convinced that an era of compromise will begin and that "relations will rest on a healthier basis."

Ankara and the EU concluded in 2016 a migration pact which allowed to reduce drastically the number of migrants traveling to Europe from Turkey.

But Erdogan, who did not directly negotiate this agreement, repeatedly threatened to "send millions" of migrants to Europe.

Overall Ambitions [19659029] Turkey: Erdogan's Five Diplomatic Challenges “/>

For a number of years, Erdogan has pursued an all-out foreign policy, seeking, among other things, to become a champion of the Palestinian cause and a defender of Muslim minorities around the world.

When the United States recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, Erdogan brought together the leaders of major Muslim countries to try to bring about a coordinated response.

Symbol of Ankara's Diplomatic Position, Venezuelan Nicolas Maduro and Sudanese Omar al-Bashir, both considered pariahs in the West, were among the first to congratulate Erdogan on his election victory.

For Jenkins, Ankara is at risk of to commit diplomatic missteps. Mr. Erdogan "must start by employing people who understand foreign policy and are ready to tell it the way it is."

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