Analysis: Annie Lööf has the key to power – and she knows it



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The proposal of the head of the center Tuesday afternoon has obviously attracted much attention from the media, Swedish policy being in a state of critical death since the day of the vote on 9 September.

Annie Lööf announced that she was ready to release Stefan Löfven as Prime Minister if several very difficult political conditions were met. In practice, this would mean that Stefan Löfven would agree to pursue a civil policy led by the Center Party.

To be considered as an offer of opening

An unrealistic political attempt for the sole purpose of compelling Löfven to refuse to legitimize the negative vote of the Center at a forthcoming vote of the Prime Minister?

No, probably not. Annie Lööf's version should rather be considered as a first exit attempt for the Social Democrats. The fact that she deals with all the liberal proposals of the rightmost party depends mainly on two things: she wants to show Löfven that she does not intend to sell down and she wants to show the bourgeois voters that she is bound by bourgeois politics.

Risk of being relegated to the stands

Stefan Löfven is obviously aware that he has to pay a heavy price for the support of the center party. Without Annie Lööf's tenure at the Riksdag, he can forget the post of prime minister. If he thinks no to Annie Lööf, he is also likely to bring her back into the arms of the leader of Ulf Kristersson. And if, therefore, the Center Party were to say yes to a M / KD government, which also supports the Swedish Democrats, the Social Democrats risk losing all influence on the foreseeable future of Swedish politics. The Alliance and the Swedish Democrats hold 60% of the Riksdag's mandate, and the Center Party will ultimately accept support for sustainable development. Certainly, the new political landscape can be defined and established for a long time. With such a constellation of power, the social democrats would be relegated to the stands.

Several requirements are pretty disgusting for S

Of course, Stefan Löfven and Annie Lööf know all these problems. His vast list of requirements will nevertheless be difficult for him. But note that today, she did not want to specify how the Social Democrats should deal with it. It is likely that future negotiations will take place. A new budget will be trapped together, budget changes will be made.

But the question is whether the Social Democrats believe that it is worth accepting its demands. In a bowl, there is of course the power of government and the possibility of fundamentally dividing the bourgeois alliance. The second wave includes a series of disgusting political proposals from the Social Democrats, such as Annie Lööf's claims for complete liberalization of labor law. And introduce more market rents is almost the same taboo. Not to mention entry wages lower on the labor market or heavily reduced taxes.

Debate within the labor movement, it is to wait

All this is a series of pimples: the lion must swallow or, in any case, be ready to swallow if he can stay in government. But count on the debate in the labor movement. One of the proposals of the center party is that all businesses with fewer than 50 employees are completely excluded from the rules of the tour. LO can hardly make the wave.

Annie Lööf also ventured hard to show all bourgeois voters that she adhered politically to the promises she made in the electoral movement.

The party of the center is a bourgeois party located very right in several political files. The fact that Annie Lööf has always neglected the publication of Stefan Löfven is simply dependent on his willingness to prevent the influence of the Swedish Democrats and there is no alternative in the current parliamentary position.

Lööf prevents possible fraud mitigation

But we must also show the bourgeois voters who voted for the party of the center that it is present today for the politics of the party of the center. It is hoped that this will alleviate any illusions that may arise if it finally frees Stefan Löfven as prime minister.

The long list of requirements also means that the ball returns to the knee at Löfven. If he decides to refuse, it will be more difficult to blame Annie Lööf for prolonged government training.

What is happening now is a complicated political game that requires a lot of effort. If the talks between the center party and the Social Democrats fail, Stefan Löfven will not participate in the vote of the Prime Minister scheduled next week. Then Sweden takes another step towards an additional choice.

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