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Thursday is the day of the Christian Democrats during the Gotland Political Week. Party leader Ebba Busch Thor arrives in Visby with low-opinion characters in his luggage. In measures after measure, the party is under the national court. The fact that the KD has four percent obsolescence in the heels is nothing new, it is a rule rather than an exception. But since the party was elected to the 1991 Riksdag, the opinion has been so bleak for so long a coincidence.
The KD has failed to find a place in the political landscape that gives the harvest. The electorate was not attracted, whether the party leader was tempted by tougher opposition to criminals or that he offered gentle welfare games about the elderly. Ebba Busch Thor ranks first in seventh place and has only two Green Party languages behind him, according to an updated poll of party leaders' confidence by Inizio on behalf of Aftonbladet.
It is interesting to note that Busch Thor breaks the pattern for party leaders. Usually, they generally gain more confidence in women than in men. For Busch Thor, it's the opposite. Many more male voters, 29%, trust her than women, 20%. Previously, more women than men voted for the KD. The question is whether the political profile of Busch Thor rejects some of the faithful female voters of the party, that is, the voters who tend to vote for the KD.
During Almedals week last year, Sifo presented figures on the proportion of nuclear voters on which parties can rely. Only two parties had a group of nuclear voters under the parliamentary fence. The environmentalist party has collected only 2.1% of the nuclear voters, but the Christian Democrats have even less: 1.9%. This means that the party has to rely on support votes to survive the Riksdag.
Several factors speak against the success of the party. The KD has almost permanently placed this mandate under the parliamentary barracks and a vote on the party can be seen as wasted. When neither the Alliance nor the red-green are obvious alternatives to the government, the need to bring small parties over the barrier seems less important. At the same time, the Liberals are also in danger and need help, but Jan Björklund enjoys greater confidence among voters than Busch Thor.
However, what is crucial for the determination to support KD, is the opinion of the moderators. Sweden now has three parties vying for the largest party and aspiring to the post of prime minister. The Swedish Democrats have outpaced the moderates and are facing the Social Democrats in the neck. This is a brand new situation in the political history of our country.
The next day, Expressen's leading writer, Linda Nordlund, invited public voters to support the moderates. Although the mission of forming a government is entrusted to Ulf Kristersson (M), the legitimacy of the prime minister is affected if he is the third choice, Nordlund said. The mandate becomes weak. An increasing number of public sector voters, who do not want the SD or S to get the post of prime minister, will likely realize it. It is worth noting that Nordlund is the former president of the Liberal Youth Union and that she has always voted for the Liberals. The times are changing. On the other side of the summer, polls and the fate of Christian Democrats are waiting.
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