After Kim Jong Un and Putin Now Rohani ?: What's Hiding behind Trump's Offer to Iran?



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This is a surprising announcement after all the threats and curses. US President Donald Trump is ready to meet "at any time" and "without preconditions" the Iranian President Hassan Ruhani – if that's what he wants. A significant nuclear deal with Iran would be "good for them, good for us, good for the world."

A week ago, Trump warned Tehran to "never again threaten the United States." have. Previously, Ruhani had once again threatened America with the "mother of all battles". Are there signs of relaxation?

The Offer of America

The pattern of supply recalls Trump's approach to North Korea. Even then, the American president had only honed the rhetoric, then completely and surprisingly at a meeting with leader Kim Jong Un. Trump himself referred to what he described as fruitful conversations with Kim on the denuclearization of his country in June. "I believe in meetings," he said

. This would not be done by force or weakness. However, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo admitted that the conclusion of a conversation would require three things: Iran's leaders should fundamentally change their relations with their own peoples, accept a real nuclear deal and stand up for it. refrain from their "malicious behavior" in the Middle East.

Pompeo's demands are not a coincidence. The US government is convinced that its repression is already having an effect. The Iranian economy is in trouble. Due to the sorry economic situation, there are still protests at the national level. Therefore, the US President and his advisers are waiting for the Tehran regime to realize in the near future that the situation can only worsen and that no real support can be expected from them. Europeans.

Historic day. On May 8, US President Trump announces the end of the nuclear deal with Iran. Photo: Ting Shen / Xinhua Xinhua / dpa

Trump resigned from international nuclear agreement with Iran in May, despite global criticism To prevent Tehran leaders from acquiring nuclear weapons manufacturing capabilities. The US president has also imposed new financial and trade sanctions that could also hit European companies.

For those who oppose are facing high fines or even the banishment of lucrative sales markets in the United States. Almost nobody wants to risk that. The stated purpose of Washington is to put an end to Iran as completely as possible.

This is precisely what the governments of Berlin, London and Paris are trying to prevent. They cling to the nuclear deal, consider it one of their greatest diplomatic successes. Although Europeans are aware that the agreement has weaknesses. But they are convinced that the deal, overall, has made the world a little safer.

Only: Without the United States, the agreement can hardly be maintained. With Donald Trump, supporters of the agreement have an influential counterpart that does not let go.

Trump's punitive measures

Offer or no offer: The sanctions planned from August 6th must arrive in all cases. These include trading in gold, metals and the auto sector as well as certain financial transactions. Beginning in November, it will affect ports, the merchant marine and shipbuilding, the oil trade and banking and insurance.

At the latest, a list of Iranian companies will enter into force prohibiting business in general. These measures are aimed primarily at harming the important oil trade for Tehran. If the United States succeeds in massively restricting Iran's oil exports, the country faces a serious crisis. Because the raw material accounts for 70 to 80 percent of all the export earnings of the Islamic Republic.

Tehran Reserves

The president of the archenemy calls – and we should jump, if not even be grateful? No one in the ruling clique wants to make that impression in Tehran. Since the Islamic Revolution of 1979, there has been a political glacier between America and Iran. There is still no diplomatic relations.

In the last 40 years, no American president has ever met his Iranian counterpart. Only under Trump's predecessor, Barack Obama, have the two countries moved closer to each other. The nuclear agreement was the expression of this minimum of confidence

The Iranian strongman Ali Chamenei (right), like the head of state Hassan Ruhani, refuses to renegotiate the nuclear agreement. Photo: AFP

Taking office and his harsh anti-Iranian rhetoric has changed dramatically. The theocratic regime is confirmed in its anti-American stance: the United States should not be trusted. The "Great Devil" breaks even the treaties.

No wonder Iran – unlike North Korea, a regional superpower – coldly responds to Trump's request. Ruhani had an advisor tell him that conditions must be met before a meeting. This includes the return of America to the agreement, the renunciation during the sanctions, the end of the hostilities and the "respect for the rights of the Iranian nation".

However, Trump is unlikely to accept such requests. In turn, the Iranian regime does not even think about renegotiating the nuclear deal. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, de facto leader of the Islamic Republic, categorically rejected this idea. To speak with the United States is useless and is a mistake.

The Problems of Iran

Nevertheless, the timing of the offer to speak seems favorable from Washington's point of view. After all, Iran's powerful are grappling with serious difficulties and, more than ever, are feeling the anger of the people. In many places, people complain about flagrant water shortages, escalating corruption, rapid currency collapse, regime control and the consequences of sanctions. These include a high unemployment rate and a considerable rise in prices

The anger of the Iranians is not enough for Donald Trump, but also for Iran's extremists. From the beginning, they fought the nuclear deal as a fatal concession to the hated West. And they blame President Ruhani for the disastrous situation in the country. That the Iranian president sits with Trump without preconditions in these circumstances seems rather unlikely.

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