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NORTH OF TEXAS (CBSDFW.COM) – The National Weather Service issued a tornado watch for most of North Texas until 2 a.m. Storms are already developing west of the DFW area and are expected to affect the Metroplex this evening.
Update 19:18
7: 18p Severe weather line moving very fast (near 60 mph). These storms VERY capable of producing winds over 65 mph. Please take shelter, they will move in quickly. # CBS11wx #txwx #dfwwx pic.twitter.com/TUl8jr6ZjY
– Jeffrey Ray (@ cbs11jeffrey) October 11, 2021
Update: 7:13 p.m.
Just seconds away from the fierce winds, estimated at 70 to 80 mph, that hit Burkburnett TX for the past 30 minutes. pic.twitter.com/GtYjenYheF
– Jason McLaughlin 🌪️🌪️🌪️🌪️🌪️ (@NorthTXWeather) October 11, 2021
Radar
The story continues to focus on a severe weather threat tonight for the region. The Metroplex and much of North Texas are at ENHANCED RISK of severe weather for the first time this fall.
Previous forecast
The main risk will be destructive winds along the squall line which are expected to quickly cross the Metroplex this evening. Discrete supercells could first precede the approaching dry line and cold front. These storms will produce the highest risk of severe weather this evening. This includes the possibility of tornadoes (highest risk in Northwestern counties – Wise, Jack, Montague) and along the Red River.
The Storm Prediction Center released a tornado risk assessment for tonight that includes an area centered on Oklahoma, but also includes parts of north Texas. It is in this area that powerful tornadoes could form and remain on the ground for some time.
All forecast models appear to have the same version of events but with slightly different arrival times. Below is a sequence of periods of the HRRR forecast model. The cold front will most likely catch up with the dry storms that precede it and pull everything into a squall line. This is the line that could produce destructive winds and rapid tornadoes across the Metroplex.
Please download our weather app so that you can protect yourself from these storms tonight. We’ll also keep you updated overnight on CBSN. Be aware of the weather! It has been since last spring that we have had such a high threat of severe weather here.
In summary, Supercell storms are expected to develop between 6 a.m. and 8 a.m. in our west / northwest counties. Large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes are all possible. A storm line will form along the approaching cold front and carry these storms into the developing squall line. This line of thunderstorms is expected in the Metroplex shortly after 9 p.m. Rapid tornadoes are possible along this line, but the main threat will be destructive winds.
-Jeff Ray, CBS DFW meteorologist
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