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“A potential outbreak of severe storms, including strong tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds, will exist Thursday afternoon overnight in parts of the lower Mississippi Valley and southeastern states,” said the Storm Prediction Center (SPC).
The latest forecasts show an “increased risk” of severe storms across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee and Alabama. This level 3 out of 5 risk category means that “many severe storms are possible,” according to the CPS, with heavy hail, destructive winds and tornadoes possible.
“The ingredients will combine Thursday for another outbreak of severe weather in the south,” CNN meteorologist Chad Myers said. “The very humid Gulf of Mexico air combined with a powerful upward movement will create several severe weather cycles, including rotating storms that could produce tornadoes.
Tornado Chance Appears Wednesday Night
Another active weather pattern taking hold across the country is the introduction of storm systems that will cause more storms.
On Tuesday, a system above the Central Plains will head to the Midwest. This could result in a few isolated severe storms in northern Missouri as well as southern Louisiana and Mississippi, an area that saw tornado warnings issued Tuesday morning; these have expired.
As this system exits north and east by Wednesday, attention is once again shifting west to the next weather system.
On Wednesday that night, the SPC predicts the possibility of severe weather from central Texas to Mississippi, with the greatest risk in southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana and the west. of Mississippi. This region faces a level 2 out of 5 “mild risk” category for inclement weather.
During the day, a few irregular storms could be possible over the Southern Plains, with rain more prevalent near the Texas Panhandle.
Wednesday evening will become more active as a line of storms form, bringing the risk of mainly high winds and hail, but also the risk of tornadoes closer to the Gulf Coast.
With these storms will come an onslaught of heavy rains that could lead to flooding in parts of the south.
Severe storm threat will be highest on Thursday
Wednesday’s storms will move eastward, focusing Thursday across the far south as the severe storm risk area is likely to expand and become larger. Heavy storms are possible from the Gulf Coast north to Ohio.
The precise timing of these storms is still too early to know, but indications from the computer model suggest that multiple sets of storms are possible during the day Thursday and into the night.
By Friday, most of the south is expected to dry out, except for parts of Georgia and the Carolinas, where light showers and isolated thunderstorms could persist.
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