[ad_1]
Today we’re looking at the statistical peak of the hurricane season based on the frequency of hurricanes over the past 100 years, and as you might expect, it’s pretty busy in the Atlantic Basin.
The NBC2 First Alert hurricane monitoring team is monitoring two tropical disturbances and the Great Hurricane Larry continues to spin in the middle of the Atlantic.
The most interesting area to watch for North America and the United States is a cluster of storms near the Yucatan Peninsula. The disruption is currently quite disorganized, but the chances of development have increased to 40% in the next two days and to 70% in the five days. The most likely development area is Campeche Bay in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
Our most trusted computer models bring the system near the Mexican coast this weekend, and then potentially to Texas early next week.
The good news for Southwest Florida is that it would be across the Gulf and pose no threat to us.
The second area of interest that we are monitoring is located in the far east of the Atlantic, near the African coasts. This large tropical wave will most likely develop in the coming days as it moves westward near the Cabo Verde Islands.
The National Hurricane Center is giving the disturbance a 70% chance of forming over the next five days, but it looks like the storm would have a small window to develop before hitting a more hostile environment on the road. The next two storm names on the list are Nicholas and Odette.
The European and GFS models show the storm is collapsing at the end of next week, but we will continue to monitor its progress and let you know if anything changes.
Meanwhile, in the Northwest Atlantic, the big and heavy Larry is still a hurricane with winds at 85 mph, moving northeast at 26 mph.
While Larry does not pose a direct threat to the US East Coast, the waves and swells from the storm will continue to bring heavy waves and strong rip currents along the US East Coast.
Larry will eventually go through a cold front over the North Atlantic, turning into a blizzard over Greenland this weekend.
While no tropical system currently threatens Florida, September marks the traditional peak of hurricane season in the Atlantic.
Make sure you’re well prepared for anything that might happen in the future by checking out our free NBC2 First Alert Hurricane guide. here.
[ad_2]
Source link