Unvaccinated Californians 600% more likely to contract Covid; Younger residents, aged 18-29, driving surge

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After weeks of urging all Californians to get vaccinated, state public health officials on Tuesday imposed a requirement that all state and health officials provide proof of vaccination or undergo testing Regular Covid. Then they rolled out stunning Covid-19 figures that demonstrate exactly why this decision was made.

As of Wednesday, cases were on the rise in the state. According to data from the Department of Public Health, the average 7-day test positivity rate has nearly tripled since July 4, from 2.0% to 5.9%. In that same window, daily cases increased further, from 1,509 to 6,849. But perhaps the most telling figure is the 7-day average number of cases per 100,000, a reliable measure of the spread of the disease. infection because it is an average.

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On July 4, the 7-day average of cases per 100,000 was 4.6. As of Wednesday, that number had risen to 12.7. The average was much, much higher for the unvaccinated.

For the week of July 14-20, the average case rate among unvaccinated Californians was 20.7 per 100,000 per day and the average case rate among vaccinated Californians was significantly less than 3.5 per 100,000 per day. day.

In other words, the vast majority of new cases in the state are among the unvaccinated. Their case rates are 600% higher than those of the vaccinated. What’s more, less than 90% of patients hospitalized with Covid in the state are unvaccinated.

This would explain the pressure from Governor Gavin Newsom to vaccinate residents. He and state officials have pleaded, cajoled and even bribed Californians to get bitten in recent weeks. And for the first time, last week, there has been progress. Vaccinations rose 16% according to the California Department of Public Health. This growth in vaccinations, however, has been overtaken by the growth in cases, which have increased by more than 35% during the same period.

The state has a long way to go. Even with the recent 16% growth in weekly immunizations, only 62% of its eligible residents are fully immunized. When the portion of the state’s population that cannot be vaccinated – those under 12 – is taken into account, the vaccination rate drops to just 54%. More worryingly, the age group currently hardest hit by the virus is 18 to 29 years old.

In the state’s most populous county, Los Angeles, where a quarter of California’s population lives, the 7-day case rate for residents between the ages of 18 and 29 as of July 15, 2021 was 24 per 100,000 – see the graph below. Among those 50-64 years old, the case rate was 7.76 per 100,000, as many more Californians are vaccinated. With the current case rate for all ages at 12.7 per 100,000, it’s not difficult to see which population is causing the increase and therefore most at risk.

LACDPH

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