Updated projection shows continued rise in COVID-19 in Oregon



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A updated projection As the current COVID-19 outbreak continues to show a dire situation in Oregon, the state is still expected to run out between 400 and 500 staffed hospital beds by Labor Day weekend.

Today’s latest forecast from Oregon Health & Science University reveals essentially the same trajectory as the previous OHSU projection which was announced on August 10. Hospitalizations and case rates have closely followed previous OHSU forecasts, and the new forecast continues to show hospitalizations for COVID-19 stand at around 1,075 as of September 3, compared to 838 people hospitalized statewide starting today.

Immunization rates remain relatively flat.

“The fifth wave of the pandemic in Oregon remains much more severe than previous outbreaks,” said Peter Graven, Ph.D., head of scientific data in the Business Intelligence unit of the OHSU. “Every action to flatten the curve will help us avoid overburdening our hospitals and ensure that everyone in Oregon has access to medical care when they need it.”

Graven said it was too early to say whether recent state-level political actions, including a state-wide inside mask mandate imposed last week, made a difference in in terms of the number of people with serious illness or death.

Cases and hospitalizations continue to rise as the much more contagious delta variant continues to spread rapidly, especially among communities with the lowest vaccination rates.

As of August 16, COVID-19 patients accounted for more than a third of the state’s total intensive care capacity – 206 out of 606 occupied intensive care beds – further straining the ability of hospitals to provide care. care for all Oregonians. The vast majority of these cases appear to be unvaccinated.

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