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Coronavirus cases and hospitalizations are declining … but with 68 million Americans still unvaccinated, the virus still has bodies to infect and threatens to develop more mutations like the “more transmissible” Delta variant. What does this mean to you and how can you stay safe? Dr. Michael Osterholm, epidemiologist and director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, gave a glimpse of his reality. Podcast yesterday. Read on for five save points, including which states will be affected the most and who dies the most – and to ensure your health and the health of others, don’t miss them. Sure Signs You Have Ever Had COVID.
“This virus does what this virus does,” said Dr Osterholm. “And we, as humans, unfortunately, are doing what we are doing … So now everyone starts to celebrate, in a sense, the reduction in the number of cases, if you’re in parts of the United States, this is not what is happening … This virus does not follow human logic. This virus does not act according to what a statistical model has predicted, it does not even care who the experts are and what ‘They say about what he’s going to do. He just does what he does.… We’re about to drop back below an average of a hundred thousand cases a day. Of course, that’s still a level. that would have been breathtaking just a few months ago when the average was almost 10 times less, but that’s down from the 170,000 cases per day we were reporting in early September. below 70,000 per day, their lowest level since early August.
“However,” he warned, “while daily deaths also tend to slowly decline, we still lose an average of 1,800 Americans to COVID every day. Delta has pushed the total death toll in the United States. United to over 700,000 deaths. “
“Most tragically is how preventable so many of these deaths are – 100,000 Americans have died from COVID just since mid-June. At this point, the vaccines were fully available in the United States for months. And in fact, more than 400,000 deaths have occurred since vaccines first became available. And by our best estimate, at least half of all these deaths, if not more, could have been prevented, had the vaccine been used by these people. If we look at those who have died of COVID since mid-June, nearly 40,000 of them were under 65. Let me repeat it. 40,000 of those who have died since mid-June were under 65 years of age.
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“We are seeing this continued flow of what I previously called ‘viral lava’ from these original cases that appeared in the Ozarks, spreading through the states of the Southern Sunbelt, to the southeastern part of the country all the way to ‘in the middle of the Atlantic, and then up to the northeast, “Osterholm said.” We haven’t seen the virus sweeping beyond the mid-Atlantic states. The northeast has been largely spared with the exception of the northern border states, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. They have seen significant increases in the past two weeks alone. Maine saw a 24% increase, New Hampshire an 18% increase in cases as the virus emerged on the east side of the United States. “
“We have also seen a similar situation in the Northwest with the first cases appearing in Oregon and Washington, particularly in the eastern parts of the state and causing a type of activity very similar to that seen in the east coast region, ”he said. “After the first spurts of activity in Oregon and Washington, we then saw the virus literally start to impact in states adjacent to these – in Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Northern California, Northern Nevada. And we’ve been through two similar. months in these places. Now they are also largely showing substantial increases in these areas, but what has happened we are now seeing emerge. in the upper Midwest cases. North Dakota is up 23% in the past two weeks, Michigan is up 23%, Minnesota is 16%. It is now another hot spot in the country and emerging. So from where I’m sitting today here in Minneapolis, St. Paul, I don’t see this pandemic going away. “
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Osterholm used NYC as an example. “The meaning in New York today is that we’re done with the virus, we’re done and they’ve done a lot to try to make it happen, but they still have millions of people who are vulnerable to this virus. all I can say that right now we are in a better situation than five weeks ago. And if we can continue to vaccinate people, which is a real challenge, we will be even better prepared for the future. . But now, please don’t leave a false sense of security that this pandemic is over, “he warned.
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Follow basic public health principles and help end this pandemic, no matter where you live: get vaccinated as soon as possible; if you live in an area with low vaccination rates, wear an N95 facial mask, do not travel, do not go far away, avoid large crowds, do not go inside with people you are not safe from (especially in bars), practice good hand hygiene and to protect your life and the life of others, do not visit any of these 35 places where you’re most likely to catch COVID.
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