Warriors vs. Raptors: 6/7/19 Finals game 4 betting odds, reviews, infos

Will the fourth game of the 2019 NBA Finals be the last Golden State Warriors game at Oracle Arena?

The Dubs will need a better defense effort in the fourth match if they want to have a chance to participate in another home game.

Here we discuss the game four odds and analysis from a betting point of view.

When: Friday, June 7, 2019 at 18:00 Pacific Standard Time

Or: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California

TV: ABC

Line: Warriors -4,5, 215

injuries: Klay Thompson (hamstring) is likely, Kevon Looney (collarbone) is debatable and Kevin Durant (calf) is absent for the Warriors.

Toronto Raptors

Each Toronto Raptor rider scored at least 17 points and shot at least 0.500 from the field. As in the first game, the Raptors took advantage of the weak defensive effort of the Warriors to attack, shooting. the peloton and .447 from three points, equaling an NBA record for the highest number of points earned by a team on the road in the final with seventeen.

Toronto is led by Kawhi Leonard with 30.9 points, 1.5 interceptions and 9.0 rebounds per game, Kyle Lowry with 6.5 assists per game and Marc Gasol with 1.2 blocks per game in the playoffs.

Image by Lachlan Cunningham / Getty Images

The Raptors have a 49-53-1 ATS record, a 54-48-1 lead against 34-36 against the gap after a win, 12-8 against the US. as outsider, 29-33-1 against the gap with a day off, 34-28-1 for the over / under with a day off, 39-31-1 for the over / under after a victory and 15-15-1 for the over / under as underdog this season.

Toronto has an offensive index of 109.6, a defensive index of 104.0, a factor factor of 96.1 and a record of 12-9 against the gap and 8-13 against the gap of series, 2-1 against the gap and 2-1 against the minus this series until now.

Warriors of the state of the gold

Simplistic defensive efforts have been the basis of every annoying home defeat of the Warriors this season and the third part has not been different.

The 123 points awarded by the Warriors in the third game were the most abandoned of all the final matches against Oracle under Steve Kerr. The Warriors defensive score of 111.7 is by far the worst of the last five years, compared to 103.6%. in 2018, 105.5 in 2017, 106.1 in 2016 and 100.5 in 2015.

The defensive character of the Warriors Jekyll and Hyde warriors was identified as their potential weakness even before losing Klay Thompson and Kevon Looney, and although they did not adversely affect their defense in the third match, was not an excuse for the assets the Raptors move like Swiss cheese and score with an efficiency comparable to that of a video game.

Among the players most likely to be active for the fourth game, the Warriors are led by Stephen Curry with 28.5 points per game, Draymond Green with 9.7 rebounds, 8.1 assists and 1.5 blocks per match, tied with Klay Thompson with 1.4 interception per match up to now. .

Picture of Ezra Shaw / Getty Images

The Dubs have a 43-56-2 record against the gap, 50-51 against / under, 14-16 against a loss, 19-29-1 against the gap as home favorites, 26- 31-1 against with a day off, 21 -28 for the over / under as home favorite, 26-32 for the over / under with a day off and 11-19 for the over / under after a win this season .

Golden State has an offensive index of 116.4, a defensive index of 111.7, a factor factor of 98.5 and a record of 8-10-1 against the gap, 12-7 for the finals and the least evolved in the playoffs, 1-2 against the gap and 2-1 for the total. / under in this series until now.

Analysis

The Warriors have been remarkably consistent in terms of offensive production, scoring just 109 points in each of the first three games of the NBA finals, which is still well below the average of their offensive scores in these playoffs and probably reflects the constancy of the Raptors. defense.

What has been incoherent and the scourge of the Warriors' existence in the playoffs this year has been a slow and slow defensive effort to react and they will live or die from their defensive effort in the fourth and final.

When you plan to bet on the fourth game, you have to wonder if they anticipate that the Warriors with a healthy Klay Thompson will come back at the speed of revenge. If the Warriors fight back with the heart of a champion, we can expect this to translate into an improvement in the defensive effort, and given the consistency of Raptor defense in all series, we would lead to less than 215 points in the fourth game. Bettors who plan to take the subtitles should think about taking it as soon as possible because the line was opened at 216 and has already lost a point, and bettors could get a better number they expected.

Although we really expected the Warriors to be strong in the fourth game, we are reluctant to bet on the Warriors in the first period, given their numerical superiority in the first and first quarter of each game in this series. we see the Warriors having a better chance of covering the first quarter than the first half, given the downturn we saw in the meager side units of the Warriors.

We expect the Warriors to win the fourth game, but we still hesitate to charge 4.5 points because of the Warriors 'poor record at home and the number of Raptors' battles, not to mention the fact that the money is alive and well. seems to happen. on Toronto, move a line that opened as Warriors -5.5 up to -4.5 in less than 24 hours. Bettors who are considering scoring points with the Dubs may want to consider waiting, as this line may shrink further if the audience takes outsiders as in the third game.

Klay playing without pain or restriction, the Warriors have the ability to reverse the change, as evidenced by their third quarter in the second part. We therefore find that the best value for money is to wait to bet the match after being informed. If the Warriors lost a significant number of points during the first half as they did in each of the first three games of this series, then we would take the live spread or risk line to higher odds.