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The NBA Breakdown features data-driven analysis for each day’s roster using FantasyLabs tools and metrics to highlight notable players.
Sunday’s slate features seven games, scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET. The Chicago Bulls-Toronto Raptors game has been postponed.
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Guard point
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Another deep group at the leader to conclude the weekend. Russell westbrook remains in a triple-double against the Boston Celtics if he plays in the second straight game. He’s scored one in five of his last seven games and is second on the slate behind Stephen curry in fancy stitches per minute in the last month (FP / Min-M). That said, due to pricing and a Worst PaceDifferential (PaceD), Westbrook doesn’t rank in the top 10 options.
The studs face each other. John wall is the best point guard game on DraftKings vs. Memphis, while Ja Morant is FanDuel’s top point guard against Wall and the Houston Rockets.
Assess
Measure the rotation of Minnesota Timberwolves with Malik beasley will continue to be a puzzle as the on-call minutes fluctuate. Jaylen nowell foiled Ricky rubio Saturday and could have another 20+ minute shot against Phoenix. When Nowell gets a decent run, he can log stats across the board and only costs $ 3,700 on FanDuel and $ 3,800 on DraftKings. Jordan mclaughlin is also on the line for Minnesota, but has shown little lately to warrant more playing time than Nowell.
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The other leadership battle that will see a lot of ownership is De’Aaron Fox and kings against LaMelo Ball and the Hornets at the end of the game. Fox is one of the top five players at both sites, while Ball’s price has made it difficult to line up with DraftKings with a heavy pool of pointers. Ball and Fox could be a fun stack on FanDuel, as the prices haven’t caught up with Ball’s production. Regardless of the price, it should be in less than 12% of queues at both sites. The Kings-Hornets game total is the highest at 6.5 points and includes the two of the three highest team totals by Vegas model.
Saban lee is one of the top 10 leverage games on both sites after its first misfire with extended playing time.
Derrick Rose rates well but comes out of 37 minutes in Saturday’s win over Indiana. Rest or a minute limit could be at stake even with Tom Thibodeau as a coach.
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I think the most overlooked game is Kendrick nunn with Bring young people questionable with a foot injury. Regardless, Nunn has the best Opponent Plus / Minus on both sites and it is priced under $ 6,000. He plans to have less than five percent ownership on both platforms.
Shooting guard
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Yes Jaylen brown Do not play Bradley Beal will see an increase in our model and ownership of the NBA. He serves as a playmaker in Fantastic Points at both sites and leads the post in Pro Trends on DraftKings.
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The depth of the shooting guard is lousy and I would avoid paying for the position. Eric Gordon is the best value on FanDuel at $ 5,300. He is number one on FanDuel and should start with Victor Oladipo outside.
David Nwaba is also in play for the Rockets with minutes available. It’s $ 4,600 on DraftKings and should see 24.5 minutes. Nwaba last played those minutes about two weeks ago and scored 40 and 26 fantasy points.
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Loved boyfriend is one of the two best guard shooting games, but continues to underestimate without Tyrese Haliburton in programming. I would rather be too late on a ceiling game for him. He also plans to see at least 20% ownership on both sites.
Terry rozier is in a crushing situation against Sacramento and is a lock on FanDuel. It is linked with Devin Booker in Pro Trends and is a leverage and bargain game.
The only player priced under $ 6,000 who is in the top 10 players on both sites is Dillon brooks.
Small before
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The only small striker who is in the top 10 players on both sites and priced over $ 7,000 is Gordon hayward. No surprise given the expected score in the Hornets-Kings match.
While James lebron is still in the game as a fantasy and real life elite player, I have no problem paying for Jimmy butler against Atlanta. There’s a chance his matches will be against Tony Snell and sees a small drop in overall production, but it’s Butler’s defensive stats that will cover more than any scoring issue if he’s the focal point of Atlanta’s defensive intrigue. Jimmy has a fantastic three highscore projection on both sites and might have the least amount of trouble getting his projection aside from James.
Assess
Danuel House is making the most of his minutes with Houston and is expected to see more playing time with Oladipo for resting purposes. It has the top Projected Plus / Minus on FanDuel but should see a spike in ownership. With his teammate David Nwaba having a small forward eligibility on DraftKings, he would be a pivot for House to avoid ownership issues.
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Rj barrett Signing up for DFS continues to be frustrating, but it is priced between $ 5,000 and $ 6,000, often not to be tempting. He has a ceiling projection of 42.69 points on FanDuel where he is a top player, but he has exceeded that number once this season. Play with him with a expectation of 30 points.
Mikal Bridges is a low-ownership option against Minnesota with little cement in the Timberwolves rotation. Deandre Ayton, Devin Booker and Chris Paul will be owned by all dwarf decks, which will make it the game if you want a piece of the Suns without handcuffing your paycheck. It is the fourth best short game before on both sites.
Jayson tatum needs a good game regardless of Jaylen Brown’s status for their game against the Washington Wizards. Boston has the second-highest team total in the slate’s second-highest screened game total. He’s sandwiched between the best players in DraftKings and should see a similar property to them, that’s where he creates value.
Power Forward
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Despite being in the game with the lowest total, Julius Randle is ready to continue his strong game against Detroit. He has four consecutive double doubles and had a strong run in defense, recording five interceptions in his last two games. The Pistons are tied for the ninth most turnovers per game with 14.6 and a 14.8 home average.
Bam Adebayo is a power forward on FanDuel and is the best game of the four. He is rated as the fourth best player at the position.
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Nerlens Noel like seeing a lot of lack of need. Like Bam, Noel is a power forward on FanDuel and allows DFS players to field a top cross while saving money on all four.
Brandon clarke has a lot of value on DraftKings against the inept Houston Rockets in the frontcourt.
Markieff Morris is the best forward in DraftKings, but he’s a complete fade for me. He will have his hands full either Draymond Green or Andrew Wiggins if Golden State wants LeBron James green. Morris also loses rebound work for Marc Gasol and Montrezl Harrell, so its value comes almost strictly from being hot as a shooter.
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The frontcourt combination of Richaun holmes and Marvin bagley iii has been playing well for the Kings lately, with Bagley playing his best ball of the season. He is one of the top players on both sites and his price is outside the top 10.
Jarred vanderbilt transformed his confidence on the defensive side into a productive role offensively in the last two games with minutes left. He gets a Suns unit that is neither deep nor scary at either end of the ground and should see no less than 20 minutes after a reduction of minutes on Saturday with a scheduled back-to-back.
I don’t buy from PJ Washington explosive game against the Golden State Warriors. He has a tougher game with Sacramento’s frontcourt and relies on defensive stats in his peak games. Washington has racked up eight interceptions in its last three games, but it hasn’t recorded any. He’s also an inconsistent source of blocks, recording one in his last four games.
Center
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Deandre Ayton is the top overall player on FanDuel and the second overall player in DraftKings against Minnesota. His clash against Karl Anthony-Towns is more frightening by the name and not by the paper. Only Charlotte’s crosses have a better opponent plus / minus than Ayton (which doesn’t take enough into account how the Kings’ Richaun Holmes has played).
Assess
Paying back less than $ 6,000 for the center is inconvenient if you remove dual-qualifying players on DraftKings. Cody zeller is questionable for Charlotte who has pain in the hip, Kelly Olynyk has a tough game with the Atlanta frontcourt, and Robert williamsThe minutes are still in question in Boston. Marc Gasol has seen more playing time lately, but will be in a faster game against Golden State. Kevon Looney is not an imposing defensive mission for Gasol, which makes it possible to consider that the best days of Gasol are behind him. He’s the third ranked center on DraftKings and is a 99% bargain on FanDuel.
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I’m locking Richaun Holmes in my middle position, which allows me to play two crosses on DraftKings, especially with another option below the elite pricing tier.
Jonas Valančiūnas puts the Houston Rockets in a crushing position considering they have no center that can compete with him. The Rockets have allowed monster games to Jarrett allen, Joel Embiid, and Wendell Carter Jr., as well as repairable parts for teams with central issues in Toronto and New York. His ownership will be in a similar range to some of the better options, but he’s a tough player to pass given the game.
Mason plumlee is therefore probable the Isaiah stewart the hype train will have to park in the station.
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