‘A big chance’ for a more dangerous COVID variant if more Americans are not vaccinated, says Dr Fauci



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If more Americans do not get vaccinated, there is a “good chance” that another variant of the coronavirus will emerge, one that could be more aggressive and more invasive than the delta variant, Dr Anthony Fauci warned on Wednesday. .

“If another comes forward who has an equally high transmission capacity but is also much more serious, then we could really be in trouble,” Fauci, the country’s leading infectious disease expert, said in an interview with McClatchy. .

“People who don’t get the vaccine mistakenly think it’s just them. But it’s not. It’s everyone, too,” Fauci said.

With unvaccinated Americans behind the country’s latest wave, experts have pointed out that the more the virus continues to spread, the more opportunities it has to mutate – making it more likely than another variant, which could cause a vaccine problem, could occur.

“If we don’t crush the epidemic to the point where the overwhelming proportion of the population is vaccinated, then what will happen is that the virus will continue to smolder from fall to winter, causing it to will give ample chance to get a variant which, quite frankly, we’re very fortunate that the vaccines we have now work very well against the variants – especially against serious illnesses, ”Fauci said.

“We are very fortunate that this is the case. There could be a variant that persists and can rule out the delta.”

About 57.9% of the U.S. population has received at least one dose of the Covid-19 vaccine, according to data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. About 49.7% of the population is fully vaccinated, according to the data.

At the current rate of vaccinations, it will take until mid-February to get at least one dose of Covid-19 vaccine to all eligible Americans, according to a CNN analysis of CDC data.

More than 90 million eligible people in the United States remain unvaccinated. And while the seven-day average of people starting immunizations each day is the highest since July 4 at 446,300, many experts say the United States is still not where it needs to be to catch the pandemic – and the rapidly spreading delta variant – under control.

“When you look at the acceleration curve of the seven-day-per-day averages, it increases very steeply,” Fauci said in the McClatchy interview.

On Tuesday, for the first time since February, more than 50,000 hospital beds across the country were occupied by Covid-19 patients, according to new data from the US Department of Health and Human Services. This number is more than triple what it was a month ago.

“We are not crying wolf here. This wave that we are going through right now has all the potential to be – and already appears to be – the worst wave we have faced so far,” the former said. American general surgeon, Dr. Jerome. Adams said Tuesday in a live online interview with the Washington Post.

Fauci said earlier this week that he would like the United States to be over a million vaccinations a day.

With the spread of the delta variant, it may not be possible to completely stop the spread of the coronavirus, National Institutes of Health director Dr Francis Collins said on Tuesday.

“But we could always come to a place where it would become a nuisance instead of a threat to your life.”

Delta variant now accounts for over 93% of Covid-19 cases in the United States

The delta variant now accounts for about 93.4% of coronaviruses circulating in the United States, according to figures released by the CDC.

This includes several delta sublines, all of which are classified as variants of concern. Together, they accounted for about 93.4% of cases in the last two weeks of July.

That number is even higher in parts of the country, including the region that includes Iowa, Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska, where the Delta accounts for more than 98% of the circulating virus.

These numbers have shown a rapid increase over the past two months. In the two weeks ending May 22, for example, the prevalence of delta was estimated to be around 3%.

Around the same time, in May, another variant first identified in the UK – Alpha, or B.1.1.7 – was the dominant variant in the US, causing 69% of cases. Now the most recent CDC estimates place this variant at just under 3%.

Experts consider boosters for immunocompromised people, Fauci says

Although experts said the data so far did not indicate that the general population needed booster vaccines, Fauci said an effort was underway to obtain them for those who are immunocompromised.

Some conditions, including autoimmune diseases, transplants, and cancer treated with chemotherapy, compromise people’s immune systems.

“These people we know almost invariably don’t have an adequate response, so the need to give them an extra boost is much more urgent than the general population,” Fauci said at a virtual event hosted by the Virginia Governor Ralph Northam on Tuesday.

CDC vaccine advisers have met to discuss whether immunocompromised people might need additional protection against a vaccine booster, but have yet to make a formal recommendation or vote on guidance.

“We are working to get the regulatory mechanism in place very quickly to give these people a boost that could raise their immunity to where it should be, if possible,” Fauci said.

In a discussion moderated by the Center for Strategic and International Studies on Tuesday, Fauci said it was “very likely” that variants of Covid-19 have evolved in the bodies of those who are immunocompromised.

People who are immunocompromised may be unable to fight off Covid-19 infections for weeks or even months, which means the virus has plenty of time to evolve and change.

“Variants, we all know, have arisen due to the strain that the human immune system put on the virus, most likely from people who are immunocompromised … and who had the virus in them for days and days and days before eliminating it and / or died, then essentially led to the emergence of a variant, ”Fauci said.

“Substantial” increase in cases in children and adolescents

As the new school year raises concerns about protecting children from Covid-19, the American Academy of Pediatrics said on Tuesday there had been a “substantial” increase in cases among children.

Nearly 72,000 children and adolescents caught Covid-19 last week – five times more than at the end of June, the group said.

The definition of a child varies by state, but generally includes those up to the age of 17 or 18.

Covid-19 protocols vary across the country, but when children return to school, districts will need to know how to respond quickly to outbreaks.

Districts must be prepared to embrace contact tracing, testing, quarantining those exposed to the virus and isolating those infected, said Dr William Schaffner, professor at Vanderbilt University School of Medicine and medical director of the National Foundation. for infectious diseases, told CNN.

While most schools follow these steps to isolate cases, trace contacts, and test, response plans may vary from state to state and school district to school district, Kim told CNN. Anderson, executive director of the National Education Association.

“From what we understand, it depends on the district you are in. The district should have very well thought out outbreak plans that have included the voices of educators, parents and community members in the area. developing those plans, and they should have plans that follow the CDC’s recommendations, ”Anderson said.

“Our recommendation to all students and school districts is to follow the medical experts and follow the CDC,” she said.

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