Thursday Briefing: Any type of Brexit is synonymous with the economy | News from the world

Top story: "Nothing beats the agreement we have as members of the EU"

Hello, Warren Murray delivers the signifying note promised today.

According to the Bank of England's modeling, even in the context of Theresa May's Brexit agreement, described as a close economic partnership with Brussels, the British economy would be at least 1% lower by 2024 that it would have been subject to a remaining vote.

Bank governor Mark Carney denied alarmist remarks, insisting that the badysis had been requested by Parliament. "We have to do it," he said. A few hours earlier, Whitehall's badysis concluded that the UK would be worse off on five possible Brexit scenarios in 15 years, and Chancellor Philip Hammond conceded that the UK would be worse after Brexit. Labor MP Chuka Umunna said: "The data is clear: nothing beats the agreement we have as a member of the EU."

With less than a fortnight of the "significant vote" in the Commons, the government plans to allow MPs – some of the hardest to Brexiters supporters of the "popular vote" – to propose a series of potential amendments, in the US. hope to demonstrate that none of them can command majority support. They hope that MPs will then be more inclined to support May's plan.

But the Labor Party is also considering tabling an amendment setting out its own alternative Brexit policy, in the hope that it can demonstrate meaningful parliamentary support. He would deny May's plan and urge Parliament to look for all the alternatives, except for the absence of a transaction. John McDonnell, the shadow treasurer, said yesterday that the Labor Party would "inevitably" support a second referendum if it was unable to force a general election.

HS2 blockade – In one night, protesters blocked work on the High Speed ​​2 rail link by clinging to a nature reserve in Hillingdon. Police and work crews left the scene in the Colne Valley Nature Reserve, where activists chained themselves to a device composed of pieces of chimney. An activist said she was part of Extinction Rebellion, the movement that blocked traffic in London: "We are doing it because we have to stop this senseless destruction of our planet."

Farage combined with Trump-Russia microscope – According to US investigators, Ted Malloch, a London-based ally of Nigel Farage, was tasked with obtaining secret information from WikiLeaks for Donald Trump's campaign in 2016. Malloch, 66, is interested in Trump-Russia inquiry as a possible link between Trump's candidacy for the White House and the Brexit campaign. The investigation by Robert Mueller indicates that Malloch has received an email from Roger Stone, a "dirty junk" close to Trump, wishing that we contact Julian Assange, whose WikiLeaks group has just released the first series of emails stolen from Democratic Party. It was reported in the United States that former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort was watching his meeting with the Ecuadorian president more closely in 2017. On Tuesday, sources told the Guardian that Manafort had met Assange at Embbady of Ecuador in London. the two men.

«90-90-90» landmark – The UK has achieved a key goal on the road to fighting the spread of HIV by successfully diagnosing and treating over 90% of people with the virus. UNAids has set a "90-90-90" target for each country, challenging health authorities to diagnose more than 90% of HIV-positive people, treat 90% of treatment and ensure 90% viral suppression – now their level of HIV low, they are no longer contagious. In Russia, the situation is the opposite: the World Health Organization warns of an epidemic as the number of cases increases, in part because of the social stigma that prevents people from being treated.

Boring Company moves on – Elon Musk has canceled his intention to dig in the west of Los Angeles after a dispute with residents about environmental badessments. Musk's Boring Company has announced that it will build a tunnel at the Dodger Stadium. Musk presented the tunnels as a solution to "destructive soul traffic" and a way to "go into 3D" roads. The first three-kilometer section of a test tunnel in Hawthorne, California, across the street from Musk's SpaceX headquarters, is expected to be completed next month. The Dugout Loop is a 3.6-mile tunnel linking the Dodger Stadium and a metro station. According to Musk's vision, the loop will be "a high-speed, zero-emission underground transit system" carrying pbadengers in electric wheeled vehicles at a speed of 125-150 km / h.

That there are parties – Young people today, they are all "mead mead mead". The old brewed honey intoxicant substance is becoming a popular product in supermarkets after conquering many fans among young drinkers in cafes and beer festivals. Sales have increased an average of 10% per year over the last three years, according to English Heritage, which claims to sell an average of one bottle every 10 minutes in its souvenir shops. Beer festivals organized by the real beer group, Camra, often feature well-stocked mead sections. The Cambridge Beer Festival this month served 15 different meads, all brewed in the UK and ranging in alcoholic strength from 4% to 17%.

Podcast Today in Focus: Death on North Sentinel Island

The death of US missionary John Allen Chau on an isolated Indian island triggered a reaction. Guardian's Michael Safi describes how Chau was killed after trying to preach Christianity to one of the last hunter-gatherer societies still totally isolated from the world. In addition, John Harris about the problems with Airbnb.

Noon reading: Why we stopped trusting elites

"At the heart of successful liberal democracies is a remarkable collective act of faith: when public officials, journalists, experts, and politicians share an element of information, they are supposed to do so in an honest way," William writes. Davies. sociologist and political economist. "To understand the crisis that liberal democracy is facing today – whether it is mainly populism or post-truth – it is not enough to deplore the growing cynicism of the public.

"The problem today is that in a number of crucial areas of public life, the fundamental intuitions of populists have been repeatedly verified. One of the main contributors to this development has been the spread of digital technology, which has created vast data leads that could contradict public statements and even undermine entire public institutions. If it is impossible to conclusively prove that a politician is morally innocent or that a news story is not misrepresented, it is much easier to demonstrate the opposite. Scandals, leaks, denunciations and revelations of fraud serve to confirm our worst suspicions. While trust is based on an act of faith, mistrust is supported by steadily increasing piles of evidence. And in Britain, this pile has grown much faster than many of us have been willing to admit. "

sport

Jürgen Klopp accused Paris Saint-Germain – and Neymar in particular – of making Liverpool a "butchery" as his team suffered a third consecutive away defeat for the first time in the Champions League groups. At Wembley, Tottenham's hopes of qualification remained alive after Christian Eriksen won to give the Spurs a crucial victory over Internazionale, but Mauricio Pochettino's team must now match Inter's result on the final day. when she goes to Camp Nou to face Barcelona. Arsenal's Europa League match against Vorskla Poltava remains in doubt after the Ukrainians said they did not know where to play.

Finally, after 15 games, 773 strokes and 51 hours of tension, Norwegian world champion Chess Magnus Carlsen stood up and his crown, winning a quick win in quick play over American challenger Fabiano Caruana. Racing 92's bid to cap New Zealand captain Kieran Read after next year's World Cup on a million pound a year contract could be considered if Premiership clubs agreed to a higher investment in the United States. 200 million pounds next month. The pre-fight press conference between Tyson Fury and Deontay Wilder plunged into chaos when heavyweights clashed in Los Angeles. In addition, Michael Clarke has strongly refuted the remarks of a well-known Australian journalist that the cultural problems of the national cricket team go back to his appointment as captain.

Business

Asian stocks followed Wall Street higher on Thursday after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell suggested that the pace of rising interest rates could slow. UK banks are strong enough to survive in a messy Brexit that could leave the country in a worse situation than that of the 2008 financial crisis, according to the Bank of England. For the second year in a row, none of the major lenders have been required to raise billions of pounds of capital to strengthen their finances, as part of the Bank's latest "stress test". The pound is trading at $ 1.284 and € 1.127 this morning.

The papers

The warning of Bank of England Governor Mark Carney about the economic impact of a Brexit "without agreement" is all on the pages of Thursday, as you can see here. the Telegraph ("Carney triggers the" Project Hysteria "") and Express ("Project Hysteria" from the bank's chief, Carney ') quote Jacob Rees-Mogg in their headlines. the Sun The title "Carnage" appears under the picture of Carney's face, with the impact of a "Brexit without rough agreement" on the price of housing.

the guardian straight up: "The warnings on the economy undermine Brexit's May strategy", as well as the Time: "A Brexit without agreement 'would be the worst crash since the 1930s". the FT says "may forced to concede all the roads Brexit will lead to a poorer Brittany", and the I reports "The Bank warns of the worst economic slump since the Second World War". the Mail ignores Carney's comments, focusing instead on more favorable news to the Prime Minister about Andrea Leadsom: "Key Cabinet Brexiteer: I support May's agreement" Mirror It is something that buries the situation somewhat, splashed by "the deal of May will cost us 100 billion pounds", before adding (in a much smaller way) that it "still beats the price of 200 billion of "do not agree" books.

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