States with the lowest vaccination rates have 4 times more deaths than the most vaccinated states

U.S. states with the lowest vaccination rates have significantly more COVID-19 deaths than their highly vaccinated peers.

Analysis from DailyMail.com reveals that 10 states – Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia and Wyoming – with the lowest vaccination rates accounted for 73.9 deaths per 100 000 residents, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

By comparison, the 10 states with the highest vaccination rates – Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington – recorded 18.9 deaths per 100,000 population. .

This means that Americans living in the least vaccinated states die at a rate almost four times that of those in the most vaccinated states.

It comes as data shows three southern states – Alabama, Georgia and Texas – were responsible for a third of the more than 10,000 deaths in the country last week.

Experts say deaths are a lagging indicator and often don’t start to decline until three or four weeks after cases and hospitalizations, meaning deaths are expected to drop soon.

In fact, a recent model from the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub predicts that the number of daily deaths will drop below 100 by March 2022.

Unvaccinated Americans have borne the brunt of the COVID-19 pandemic since the Delta variant-fueled push began in early summer.

Almost all Covid deaths and hospitalizations in the United States are in unvaccinated people, although this group represents less than 30% of the adult population.

States with lower vaccination rates have also suffered from greater spread of the virus and shrinking hospital resources to cope with the rising number of cases.

The ten states with the lowest vaccination rates in America are in either the southern regions or the great plains of the country.

On the other hand, eight of the ten states with the highest vaccination rates are in the northeastern and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States.

These huge geographic differences exacerbate the spread of the virus in some areas, as unvaccinated people living near other unvaccinated people are more likely to contract the virus than an unvaccinated person in a widely vaccinated community.

It also poses problems when additional medical care is needed, as unvaccinated people in widely vaccinated communities are likely to live in an area with more hospital resources available.

These problems are getting worse, creating a big gap in the number of deaths from the virus depending on the part of the country a person lives in.

Alabama, which is among the states with the lowest vaccination rates with just 42% of residents fully vaccinated, has more deaths per 100,000 population than any other state in the United States.

More than 15 in 100,000 Alabamans have died from the virus in the past seven days, according to CDC data.

The state’s death rate is nearly 50% higher than any other state, with only West Virginia – also among the least vaccinated states – coming in second with 10.4 per 100,000 people who died last week .

No other state has recorded more than ten per 100,000 people dead in the past seven days.

Alabama, which recorded 742 deaths last week, joins Texas and Georgia as states accounting for much of the country’s current Covid crisis – accounting for 3,500 of the 14,000 deaths recorded in the United States over the past week.

Georgia, also among the least vaccinated states with 44% of residents fully vaccinated, has recorded 872 deaths in the past seven days – or 8.2 per 100,000 population.

Texas has the dubious honor of leading the nation on Covid deaths last week, registering 1,931 – or 6.7 out of 100,000.

The three states combine for just over 3,500 deaths between them, out of around 10,000 recorded by all nations.

Deaths have increased recently from 25% from about 1,500 deaths per day to 2,000 per day in the past two weeks.

However, cases are finally declining as it looks like the summer wave of Covid is over.

Because deaths are a few weeks behind cases, experts predict that deaths will soon start to drop as well.

New model predicts COVID cases will decline over winter and drop to 9,000 per day by March 2022 – with daily deaths falling below 100

By Mary Kekatos, Acting US Health Editor for DailyMail.com

The end of the COVID-19 pandemic could be near with cases and deaths dropping to levels not seen in more than a year by next spring, a new model predicts.

The analysis, conducted by the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, which advises the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), looked at different scenarios regarding the trajectory of the pandemic.

Researchers have predicted that the United States has peaked in the fourth wave fueled by the Delta variant and will see all indicators improve.

This includes the number of virus cases falling to around 9,000 per day and the number of daily deaths falling below 100 by March 2022.

For the new model, which was released on Wednesday, the team merged nine different models from universities across the United States.

The researchers came up with four different scenarios depending on whether or not children aged five to 11 are allowed to be vaccinated and whether or not a new variant begins to spread.

The model does not argue for or against childhood vaccinations, but simply suggests that they will start happening by fall 2021.

Lessler told NPR that the most likely scenario would be for children to be approved for Covid injections and no highly transmissible strains to be identified.

Depending on the model, this will lead to a drop in weekly COVID-19 cases, from the current 993,279, or 141,897 per day, to 63,383 weekly cases, or 9,054 per day by March 2022.

Deaths would also drop from 11,563 weekly deaths now, or 1,651 per day, to 415 weekly deaths, or about 59 per day.

These are numbers that have not been seen since late March 2020, when states began closing and implementing stay-at-home orders.