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Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) leads the electoral race for Plbadto, followed by Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) and Marina Silva (network), highlights the new Ibope survey contracted by the National Confederation of Industries , (33%) said they preferred Lula, versus 15% of Jair Bolsonaro (PSL), Marina Silva (Network), 7%, and Ciro Gomes (PDT) and Geraldo.
Alckmin (PSDB), 4% each. In the scenario stimulated without Lula, Bolsonaro scores 17%, Marina, 13%, Ciro, 8% and Alckmin 6%
In the survey on governmental badessment, President Michel Temer has reached a new rejection record: 79% of respondents
The survey has collected 2000 voters between June 21st and 24th and has a margin of error of 2%.
But there is more to see in the survey. BBC News Brazil has separated some data revealed by the poll:
The poorer the elector, the more likely he is to vote for Lula. The opposite is true for Bolsonaro
Research shows that Lula's voting intentions increase proportionally with the voter's income. In the case of Bolsonaro, the opposite occurs: the level of preference is higher among the richest. In stimulated responses, Bolsonaro won 29% of the mentions among these voters with a family income of more than 5 minimum wages. Lula stands out among voters of low educational and low income / Lula Marques / Agência PT
On the other extreme, the PT threatens 45% of support among those who have up to 39%. to 1 minimum wage family income. Among the poorest, Bolsonaro only accounts for 7%.
The same phenomenon is repeated in relation to schooling. In the stimulated, Lula gets 44% of the preference of those who finished until the fourth year of primary education, while Bolsonaro only accounts for 5%.
Among these voters, Lula's voting intent drops to 20%.
Bolsonaro's vote is mostly male
Among men, Bolsonaro gets 21% of votes
Bolsonaro records 22%
Marina, Ciro and Alckmin show little variation between preference indices for schooling and income.
Lula already has 35% of her preference, while 31% of men say she chooses.
Women are more disillusioned: 25% say they will vote in blank or canceled.
In a scenario without President Lula, Bolsonaro has the highest preference rate among the other candidates in the North / South regions of Brazil, (19%), Southeast (19%) and South (21).
The Northeast is the weak point, with only 10% of the mentions. There, he loses a lot to Marina Silva, who records 16% of preferences, as for Ciro Gomes, who has 14%.
In a scenario without Lula, Bolsonaro wins in all regions, less Collor leads the rejection with Lula and Bolsonaro
Lula and Bolsonaro polarize preferences and are at the forefront of research. They are also the champions of rejection: 32% of voters say they would not vote for Lula in all cases and 31% say the same thing compared to Bolsonaro.
6 out of 10 voters do not know who they are going to vote for [1] or that they do not want to vote for anyone: 31% of respondents said that they would cancel or sign in white in the following year. urn, while 28% do not know or have not answered
Fear is more rejected among young people / Reuters
Young people aged 16 to 24 are the oldest among young people
