The exchange rate at the end of 2018 remains at R $ 3.70, according to Focus

For 2019, the projection of the exchange rate at the end of the year followed at R $ 3.60, compared to R $ 3.50 for four previous studies

Fabrizio de Castro, do Estadão Table of contents

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July 9, 2018, 10:42 – Posted on July 9, 2018, 10h41

Brasília – O Focus Market Report, released on Monday 9 by the Central Bank, showed a continuation in the scenario of US currency in 2018. The median of expectations for the rate of in the end-of-year exchange rate forecast was R $ 3.60, compared to R $ 3, against R $ 3.70, against R $ 3.50 a month ago

There are 50 out of four surveys

Economists have changed the projection of the trade balance in 2018. The estimate of The trade surplus p from $ 58.28 billion to $ 57.81 billion. A month ago, the forecast was $ 57.15 billion. In 2019, the budget surplus amounted to 49.50 billion dollars, or 49.50 billion dollars, against 49.60 billion dollars a month earlier. In BC's latest estimate, updated in the Quarterly Inflation Report (RTI), the positive balance will be $ 61.0 billion in 2018.

In the account Current, the Focus forecast for 2018 still indicate a $ 20 billion deficit, up from $ 21.15 billion four weeks earlier. For 2019, the diamond projection was $ 35.95 billion to $ 35.90 billion.

For the badysts consulted weekly by the BC, the Direct Investment in the Country (IDP) will be more than enough to cover the deficit result in 2018 and in 2019. The median forecast for the displaced in 2018 remained at $ 70.00 billion, up from $ 71.00 billion a month ago. In 2019, the expectation was $ 76.60 billion at $ 75.30 billion, compared to $ 77.00 billion a month earlier.

British Columbia forecasts a deficit of $ 11.5 billion in current transactions in 2018 and $ 70.0 billion in IDP.