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"Any routine or predictable work will be done by a mathematical algorithm in five or ten years".
Here is the prediction of the American John Pugliano, the controversial author of The Robots are Coming: Take Advantage of the Age of Automation, Survival Guide A human being ("Robots arrive: guide to the survival of humans to take advantage of the era of automation"), at least in developed countries.
In a conversation with BBC Mundo, the BBC's Spanish service, Pugliano says that, just as in recent decades, the work done by factory workers has been replaced by technological progress, highly skilled occupations that previously seemed less threatened, are also at risk of disappearing.
The thesis is controversial because it contemplates careers that continue to be considered essential in most countries and are not normally listed as threats.
"Doctors and lawyers will not disappear, but part of their labor camp will be reduced," said Pugliano, founder of investment advisory firm Investable Wealth.
Although this sounds catastrophic, the American says he believes that new opportunities will arise for people who can solve unforeseen problems, anticipate what can happen, take risks and give creative answers.
All that an algorithm can theoretically solve.
But it will not be the only sector. "There are areas of human contact that are irreplaceable by algorithms," he adds, citing psychologists, psychiatrists or various types of social workers.
Here is a list of seven occupations threatened by technological progress in developed countries, according to the author of the book
. Doctors
Although this may seem absurd – because doctors are still in demand, and even more so because of the aging of the population – general practitioners will lose ground in rich countries, because diagnoses of common diseases will automated.
However, according to its author, the demand for doctors working in emergency rooms or other types of specialists, such as plastic surgeons, will continue to be important.
2. Lawyers
He thinks that the tasks of less experienced and less experienced lawyers will be done by computer.
The lawyer who works in the offices, responsible for documents and routine tasks, will see his area of activity decrease.
3. Architects
Pugliano says that with technological advances, architects will be less and less obliged to design simple constructions.
Those who will always be solicited will be those who possess artistic skills, whose creative ability can not be replaced by a machine.
4. Accountants
Accountants specializing in complex tax issues will survive. But the lack of demand will affect those who deal with more common and predictable problems.
5. The War Pilots
They are at stake because they have been replaced and will continue to be replaced by unmanned aircraft.
6. Police Officers
Routine surveillance functions currently performed by junior police officers are being replaced in countries with sophisticated technological systems.
They will never go away, but they will reduce demand, says Pugliano.
7. Real Estate Agents
The traditional real estate agent loses space in front of sites that connect who is offering and who is requesting real estate services, such as renting and buying homes and offices.
In addition to this list of professions, in general, "those who will disappear are the intermediaries of the companies," says Pugliano.
But as some professions lose ground, opportunities are created for others.
After all, it will be necessary to create artificial intelligence systems, program machines, improve algorithms and repair systems in case of failure.
And in everyday life, plumbers, electricians and all those who repair faults will continue to be in great demand, at least for a long time, according to the author.
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