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The test of forces between military and civilians in the Esplanade, exposed throughout the week because of the pension reform, can be represented in figures. The exclusive postal survey shows the division of the budget of the ministries. Through cross-referencing done in the report, with the support of the Open Accounts Association and independent economists, it is possible to verify that the future distribution of public resources leaves the Armed Forces on an equal footing with the rest of the world. the portfolios of Esplanada, losing only Paulo Guedes, main defender of the inclusion of members of the barracks in the new rules of retirement, is that of Economia.
The strength of the army was demonstrated during talks and during command exchanges in the Navy on Wednesday and in the Army on Friday. First, the Minister of the Government Secretariat, General Santos Cruz, said that the military "have particular characteristics that need to be discussed". Then, in a speech, the Minister of Defense, Fernando Azevedo e Silva, asked for a different regime for the category. Thursday, the vice president, Hamilton Mourão, has advanced a house to confirm the entry of the army in the reform. The idea is the same as in the government of Michel Temer, from a bill without profound changes, contrary to what would be included in the Proposal for amendment to the Constitution (PEC) which will affect the pocket of the rest of the workers.
The Vice President himself suggested an increase in the contribution period before going to the reserve, from 30 to 35 years. According to Correio, with more time spent on the scene, a previously studied proposal to reorganize the army career has returned to the debate: the creation of a patent between colonel and general. It is an intermediate promotion not to overload the coffers with the last rank of the military hierarchy, nor displease the officers, who should spend more time than colonels. Another intention is that the beneficiaries of a pension start to contribute to the system. Mourão provides inevitable wear and tear if the army is retired. By seeking a more flexible format for the armed forces, such action could be looked upon favorably by society.
An experienced parliamentarian recalled one of the major episodes of diplomatic relations in the history of the world: the handshake between Chinese Mao. Tse-Tung and the American Richard Nixon in 1972 – to explain, with optimism, the fall of arms between the civil and military ministers of the Bolsonaro government. Before the president of the United States, a convinced capitalist, no other American leader would have adopted such a radical approach to China without risking being accused by the establishment of the defender of communism. "Here in Brazil, if one of the candidates, like Fernando Haddad, decided to call on the army to reform social security, the cry would be widespread in the barracks, the same thing will not happen with Bolsonaro. can not accuse him of being opposed to the army if the barracks are confirmed in the project. "
The question of the need for reform for the military lies in the void that they represent for public funds. The social security deficit of the category increases more than the civil deficit. The Correio report last Friday showed that from January to November 2018, the peak reached 12.85% compared to the same period of 2017. The civilians were 5.22% compared to 2017. The values, from one group to another, have surpbaded the $ 40 billion mark, an expense impossible to overlook for any patriot. The Guedes-led economic team is aware of this imbalance and understands that investors will not be satisfied with progressive reform without the participation of the judiciary and the armed forces. "In this fall of the arm, Guedes, for the moment, is in advantage.If the rope stretches and that he decides to leave the government, the losses will be enormous compared to the market confidence in Bolsonaro ", said a parliamentarian, who preferred not to identify and thus stay away from the fight.
The fact is that when managing Temer, no matter the announcement of a specific project for the category, no one has seen the content yet. . This time, even with the promise of less stringent rules for the military, most of them were not convinced of the changes. The very speech of the new commander of the army, Edson Pujol, is living proof of the contradiction. He said that he would not like to see the social security system altered, but stressed that he had not so far talked about this problem in Bolsonaro. "There was a definition in that sense, so far it has not come in. There has been no discussion with the president about this. different regime for the military, but if there is an order in this direction, we will follow, "he said.
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