When Fomc managed to hit Ibovespa again at 97,000 points and the future dollar fell to R $ 3.68



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  Jerome Powell

SÃO PAULO – Ibovespa gained strength in the final trading session on Wednesday (30) and rose more than 1% after Fomc announced the continuation of its interest in the United States and removed it from its reference to progressive rate increases in the future. The dollar also fell sharply, exacerbating losses after President Jerome Powell's collective.

The benchmark index of the Brazilian stock market closed up 1.42% to 96,996 points, with a financial volume reaching 18,620 billion rubles. The change in the Fed's position involves a relief from the economy and helps to energize the market, more after Powell claims that the argument in favor of a rise in interest rates is Is somewhat weakened.

Meanwhile, the future dollar with February fell 0.97% to R $ 3,685, while the trade dollar, which closed shortly before the Fed's announcement, was quoted at R $ 3.7246, which represents a slight increase of 0.06%

Abroad, the Fomc decision and the Powell collective also boosted the market, pushing the Dow Jones to exceed 25 000 points after two months with gains of 2% while the Nasdaq jumped 2.5%, also boosted by the corporate earnings season.

Contracts also fell on Wednesday, following the dollar. The contract maturing in January 2021 fell 6 basis points to 7.08%, while future interest rates for January 2023 fell 3 points to 8.26%.

In a unanimous decision, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained interest rates in the United States at 2.25% and 2.5% per annum. In its statement, the Federal Reserve Committee emphasized the patience with which interest rates were to be raised and indicated that future changes would be made in closer consideration of economic conditions. The monetary authorities also removed the reference to gradual increases in the document.

The decision was accompanied by a statement on the Fed's stock balance stating that members of the committee will adjust the rate of decline of the securities portfolio if conditions permit, which should be softer than before. . expected. Note that the balance sheet will remain "important" once the reduction of the Fed's balance sheet is complete.

In a move that has diverged from monetary policy in recent years, the Fed has dismissed the language that more interest rate hikes would probably be needed – "gradual increases" – and suggested a more cautious approach.

In addition, he helped maintain the gains of the Vale's rising equity index (VALE3), which surged after the company announced its decision to stop upstream dams – a type of structure who broke in Brumadinho and who was considered less important. This measure will cost about R $ 5 billion and will reduce the production of 40 million iron ore and 10 tonnes of company per year. As a result of this news, international iron ore prices climbed more than 10% after the announcement, the highest level in two years.

According to XP, the measure dispels the concern over the first uncertainty about production, but uncertainties remain as to the possibility of prosecution after the break-up of the Brumadinho Dam

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% Year % Year Vol
The highest increases, among the stocks making up the Bovespa Index, were as follows:

1
VALE3 [19659019] VALE ON 46.60 +9.03 -8.63 3,14B
BRAP4 BRADESPAR PN 72 +7.89 ] -7.49 165.42M
MRFG3 MARFRIG ON 6.25 +5.75 +14.47. 39.79M
KROTON ON 11.94 +5.38 +34.61 149.58M
ESTC3 32.50 +4.87 +36.78 102.40M

The biggest victims The shares making up the Bovespa index were as follows:

Code Active Cot R $ % DAY % Year [19659014] Vol 1
CCRO3 ] CCR SA ON 15.13 -3.32 +35.09 233.39M
SBSP3 SABESP ON 43.01 -3, +36.54 150.25M
SUZB3 SUZANO PAPELON 46.60 -2.94 +22.37 315.95M [196590249] ] ECOR3 ECORODOVIAS ON 11.66 -2.83 +24.31 32.28M
SANB11 SANTANDER BRUNT 47.90 Actions the most traded, including the Bovespa index, were as follows: [19659080] Code Active Cot +15.27 260.94 M

Vol Vol 1 1 3.14B 1.53B [196591PETROBRASPNN2 25.62 +0.99 1.61B 1.61B 50.850 BBDC4 BRADESCO PN 42.84 -0.23 914.47M 599.57M 39.010 ITUB4 ITAUUNANCANCOPN +0.63 734.79M 781.50M 37.128 SCNNA3 SID NACIONALON 10.38 19659091] 10.38 10.39 . CIEL3 CIELO ON 11.59 +1.49 437.90M

] 186.70M 72.980

BRASIL ON 50.58 + 426.86M 513.56M 24,591 19659103] B3SA3 B3 ON 31.47 -0.25 383.30M 397.76M 28.101 ABEV3 AMBEV S / A 17.97 +0.56 343.78M 450.21M 29.883 ITSA4 ITAUSA PN 13.42 +1.13 324.32M [19659101] 374.01M 29.835

* – Lot of Thousand Shares
1 – In reais ( K – Miles | M – Million |
United States stock indexes rise sharply with the FOMC decision and also reflect companies b [19659148]. B – BILLION)
– BILLION Apple's shares surged after the company announced that despite declining iPhone sales, sales of other products such as IPad and Apple Watch had increased. Boeing data also inspires investors.

European stock markets closed higher, pending the meeting between US and Chinese government officials to discuss the trade war between the two countries. Chinese Vice Premier Liu He arrives in Washington today for the first of two days of meetings with US officials.

US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said yesterday that he expects significant progress, but sources say the two sides remain distant on key issues.

Asian stock markets ended without any specific direction awaiting news. with the meeting between the representatives of China and the United States.

Oil prices rose amid concerns over Venezuela's offer following sanctions imposed by Donald Trump's government. Meanwhile, iron ore is experiencing another sharp rise, observing the effects of Vale's announcements on the supply of this product. The price climbed to nearly 10% after Goldman Sachs raised its price forecast to USD 80, with the potential for the product to be in excess of USD 100 in even more rigid production reduction scenarios.

After meeting with the Ministers of Mines and Energy, Bento Albuquerque and Environment, Ricardos Salles, Vale's president, Fabio Schvartsman, announced last night that the company [seterminerawithdixbarragescommittedtoBrumadinhoSelectedbarrageswillbedisbadociated[19659004Decommissioningconsistsofpreparingthedamforitsintegrationintonature"Thecompanydecidedtonolongerbeabletolivewiththistypeofdamandwemadethedecisiontostopalltheroadblocks"saidtheexecutiveFolhadeSPaulopointsoutthatone-thirdofVale'sdamshavepotentialdamagesimilartothatofBrumadinho

The dam decommissioning project is ready and will be presented to federal agencies and states in 45 days. According to Schvartsman, the turnaround time for actions is at least one year and not more than three years and Vale estimates that approximately R5 billion will be invested in the implementation of the project. plan.

The measure will reduce production by $ 40 million. iron ore and 10 tons of pellets a year, accounting for 10% of the company 's output a year.

At the request of the minor, some members of the government began to adopt a much softer tone after threats of dome The Minister of Infrastructure, Tarcisio Gomes de Freitas, warned against a "hunt for witches "and simplistic approaches to disasters, stressing that any decision should be taken after the situation has calmed down.

Onyx Lorenzoni, Minister of the Civil House, declared that "the privileged action did not allow interference in the management of Vale", recalling that it was a question of A decision of the board of directors. He also added: "There is no intervention requirement, not because it would not be a desired signaling for the market."

Political News

President Jair Bolsonaro resumes his presidential duties at 7 am on Wednesday. The spokesman of the Plbadto Palace, Otávio Rêgo Barros, was originally scheduled to return to work between 9:00 and 10:00. The Institutional Security Bureau (GSI) has installed a device inside the hospital equipped with equipment and technical equipment.

On pension reform, Special Secretary of Social Security and Labor Rogério Marinho said the text should be sent to Congress before the third week of June. February The government intends to take advantage of the text of the draft amendment to the Constitution (PEC) presented during the term of the former president. and Michel Temer, to speed up the process, since it has already been presented to the House.

Invest better your money: open an investment account in XP

The difference is that the text of Temer does not provide for the creation of A social security system in which each worker makes his own savings (capitalization), as the government is expected to present in February, which could give rise to questions from the opposition

. During the vote in Congress, scheduled for Friday (1), Rodrigo Maia positions himself as the favorite of the elections in the House, while Renan Calheiros gains power for the Senate. The dispute within the MDB has been postponed until tomorrow at 5 pm, the decision regarding the choice of presidential candidate for the Senate – Calheiros or Simone Tebet.

It is worth remembering that the Senate decided to keep the vote secret, which means a defeat for the senator, who voted in favor of open voting. "The decision on the secret ballot is indicative of the fact that Renan Calheiros has votes to serve as a benchmark for the BMM to challenge the presidency of the Senate," according to badysts at Plural in Brazil.

Senator Davi Alcolumbre (DEM), another candidate for the presidency of the Senate, will preside over the voting and, with the support of the plenary, decide by open vote. The senator is the only member of the current board of directors whose term of office is until 2022 and, therefore, he will preside over the session, provided, however, that he is not a candidate for the presidency. bedroom.

In the absence of David Alcolumbre, The presidency of the voting session will be provided by José Maranhão (PB), the oldest senator, in favor of the secret ballot. "Renan Calheiros seems confident in the support of his peers, but knows that he will have no chance to participate in an open election.The explanations now continue to guarantee that José Maranhão will be the host of the voting session, "says Plural Brazil.

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