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According to the political scientist Marco Antônio Teixeira, of the Getúlio Vargas Foundation (FGV), the term "drifting" is what best defines the first month of the Bolsonaro era. In addition to showing great insecurity to present concrete plans, the government has experienced a series of comings and goings in the most diverse fields. Not even the ministry of the powerful economist Paulo Guedes, the "Ipiranga Post" of the president
"This sector more robust, that of the economy, whose staff is more heterogeneous … it seems that the government still beats the head, especially when it comes to the main theme of social security reform in the current economic sector, "Teixeira estimated in Sputnik, Brazil.
The social security reform itself is considered essential and fundamental to the success of the executive. captain of the Brazilian army. However, there are still many uncertainties. During the month, Bolsonaro gave dubious signs. On his first international trip to the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, he said the army would not participate in the first part of the reform.
Already last Wednesday, the Special Secretary of Social Security and Labor, Rogério Marinho badured that Bolsonaro had requested the inclusion of the army in the reform. The contribution of the army had already been defended in January by Vice President Antônio Hamilton Mourão (another who had a controversy to call his), one of the many counterpoints he had addressed to the President of the Republic.
"He [Bolsonaro] did not he was not able to speak because he was unpopular, but he will now present his plan, but he did not do it," said the doctor. the plan of 35 measures to be implemented during the first 100 days of the government, presented in January by the Chief of Staff, Onyx Lorenzoni, only two of them. the fact that they left the paper: the signing of the interim measure that will make a nice comb at the National Institute of Social Security (INSS), and the decree that eases the arms in Brazil, one of his campaign promises
Bites and Strokes
The controversy did not stop there. Despite praise of having a 22-seat ministry (compared to the 27th of his predecessor, Michel Temer, but far from the 15 promised during the election campaign), Bolsonaro was criticized for transferring to the ministry of Agriculture the attribution of the demarcations of indigenous lands and quilombolas. as well as for monitoring non-governmental organizations (NGOs) promised by the General Secretariat of the Government.
Divergence of views was not lacking within ministries. In the field of education, the Minister Ricardo Vélez Rodriguez has already had to contend with the reflexes of a decree that eases the number of errors in the books, from the withdrawal of the appointment of Murilo Resende to post of director of the national high school examination (Enem) of
to the Ministry of Women, Family and Human Rights, Damares Alves [Institut national d'études et de recherche en éducation Anísio Teixeira (Inep)] and his disastrous declarations, such as that which indicates that the Brazilian university is not for everyone.
Such ministers gained positions in the Bolsonaro government thanks to the strength of the different factions that make up the base, which can be divided between three to seven distinct groups, depending on the angle of view. badysis.
"His interest [Bolsonaro] for olavisme [movimento conservador de direita do ex-astrólogo e filósofo Olavo de Carvalho, considerado guru do pensamento bolsonarista] has not yet yielded good results, at least.The Department of Education has already had to fire a guy, a guy chosen by hosting Enem, who was so crazy that he could not get him in, and it was not even the third week of his tenure .It was a very bad start, I do not know not how it will happen from now on, "explained Celso Rocha de Barros.
Frictions already latent in the government – amplified by episodes such as PSL parliamentarians going to China, criticized by Bolsonaro and Olavo de Carvalho – must have a test of fire already in February, when the new legislature of Congress national begins. The main driver of government measures, the pension reform does not seem to be able to unite the different factions for the moment.
"Look, you are already exposing [os rachas] at the present time, especially the army, because of the great clashes is whether the army is involved or not in the reform, it is a very struggle internal to the government, because today the military group is the main group present in the government, the group that could be more coherent in terms of government action, who knows what it does to the government.While these divisions are already defined for society.I think the great challenge of the government is to show that it wants to lead a reform in which its sacrifice is divided for everyone.And, it seems,
However, no episode has so much marked the first month of the Bolsonaro government as the plot around the movement of former military police chief, Fabrício Queiroz, former advisor to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PSL-). RJ) – the son of the president – and personal friend of the former captain of the Brazilian Army. So far, neither Flávio nor Queiroz have testified before the Rio de Janeiro Public Prosecutor's Office (MP-RJ), and the senator has even requested the cancellation of any evidence before the Federal Supreme Court.
In Davos, where Bolsonaro made his first international appearance without causing a major impact among investors and international leaders (except those on the European right, closer to the ideology and with whom he met several times) , the president said the son, if he was missing the case Queiroz, should pay. However, he did not mention the deposit of $ 24,000 made by Michelle Bolsonaro, Flávio's former badistant to the account of the first lady, who would have been part of the payment of a loan.
According to information provided by badysts. by Sputnik Brasil, the endless wear of Flávio Bolsonaro has already scratched the image of the government, which was elected with a staff vigorously preaching the fight against corruption. A decree that weakens the law on access to information, signed by Mourão and allows authorized officials (nominative and trustworthy) to clbadify documents as secret and secret, only tarnishes the current image of rhetoric election.
The episode involving Flávio Bolsonaro remained unanswered, and the reaction of the family was exactly the same as that used to attack the opponents: parliamentarians attacked behind to be hidden behind the forum privileged of [ministro da Justiça Sérgio] Moro and let the government, so to speak, enter a line in terms of image that does not differentiate much from previous governments, "said Marco Antônio Teixeira.
" I do not remember someone who used a militiaman, "added Celso Rocha de Barros, who was injured because Queiroz was part of the same battalion of former Prime Minister Adriano Magalhães da Nóbrega, a judicial fugitive and appointed by the MP-RJ as one of the leaders of the Bureau of Crime, the most feared militia of the western zone of Rio.Nóbrega's mother and wife worked in the offices of Flávio Bolsonaro, who also rendered hom mage to the police officer of the time in the Legislative Assembly of Rio (Alerj).
Highly performing in Rio das Pedras, the crime bureau is the main suspect of being the criminal organization that executed the PSOL advisor, Marielle Franco. and his driver, Anderson Gomes, in the center of the capital Rio de Janeiro for almost a year. It is suspected that Queiroz hid precisely in the militia shortly after the scandal surrounding his financial movements broke out, reported by the Council for the Control of Financial Activities (Coaf)
. The President of the Republic used Queiroz's daughter and she was a ghost employee, she was a personal trainer. So, this reputation, you do not rebuild, not with the most fanatical activism that will believe everything they say, this picture of the guy who, okay, could be "He added, adding: "I'm a little crazy, but at least honest, it does not stick anymore," added the doctor of sociology at the University of Oxford.
Environmental and Humanitarian Tragedies [196459003]] Other subjects that moved the first month of the Bolsonaro government were not treated by him but were inherited.An example is the tragedy in the mining town of Brumadinho, where a week ago a barrage of Vale's tailings erupted, killing dozens of people and causing environmental damage comparable to the Mariana disaster, also in Minas Gerais, three years earlier.
Brumadinho's situation slows the discourse against environmental policies defended by Bolsonaro and his allies throughout the campaign. The political scientist of FGV, heard by Sputnik Brasil, recalled that the Minister of the Environment, Ricardo Salles, had endorsed the Parliamentary Front for Agriculture and Livestock, also called Bank do Boi [19659018]. environmental licenses, the end of the "beautiful industry" touted by Bolsonaro throughout the electoral process, all in favor of the economic development of the country and the production of more commodities for export seems, for the moment, pending – at the moment, there is
Further north of the country, Bolsonaro inherited the refugee crisis in Venezuela. His government has already recognized Juan Guaidó, president of the National Assembly. Venezuelan and opponent of the current resident of the Miraflores Palace, Nicolás Maduro – as de facto president of the Caribbean country. The beard exchange between the Brazilian president and Hugo Chávez's political heir has already given rise to serious offenses, as when Maduro compared Bolsonaro to the Nazi leader Adolf Hitler.
Critics against the Maduro government are part of the alignment to the United States. , promised by Bolsonaro throughout the campaign – whenever he can, MP Eduardo Bolsonaro (PSL-SP), another son of Jair, weaves provocations to the government of Caracas. According to Celso Barros de Barros, the unsolicited approach adopted by Washington, to the detriment of China, Brazil's main trading partner, could become a kick for the Brazilian government.
"Children are another source of tension because they are very more radical than him, more ideological, so they urge to indicate the face of Olavo de Carvalho, to do whatever the want United States, they are dazzled to be received at the State Department and can not return the children. "If Brazil was not in the crisis, it would be a joke", a- he says, "it's a joke, and the United States does not want the kind of support that they want to give, I suppose."
"Who buys [do Brasil] the Chinese. .. This is not the least … it's even ridiculous, it has nothing to say It's a speech completely detached from reality and we'll have to do it [revisto] If the guy [Bolsonaro] takes it seriously, the country. good publicity with China, with the Arabs over there, goodbye. So the crisis is really ugly. It's a case of how the latter was. But I think he will not get to that point, the soldiers themselves giving him "husbands," he added.
Brazil can get out of what Barros called a "nightmare" As he called it the first month of the Bolsonaro era Marco Antônio Teixeira predicted that the challenge of the government was even at the National Congress and that, with the progress of the social security reform, this would set the tone for this. that will happen in the future, whether for better or for worse. [19659003] "I would say that the pension reform will set the tone for what is coming. If it is too difficult to be approved and the government has to make a lot of concessions, it will contaminate other debates. And the cost of governance tends to be much higher. Now, the government is facing a governance challenge that is, for example, disconcerting because it has not constituted a majority of negotiations with the parties. And all the governance in the legislative process is based on the polls of the parties, "said the political scientist at the FGV.
Is this where the Bolsonaro government has a tendency to resume the month of January" at the drift "? d, s, id) {
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