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Brasília – Waiting for a rise in gross domestic product ( GDP ) this year followed 1.55% According to the Focus Market Report released Monday morning by the Central Bank of Br Esil (BC), which is expected to grow by 2.18% in four weeks, and by 2019, the market has reduced its GDP forecast from 2.60% to 2.50% vs. 3.00% Four weeks ago
Last week, British Columbia reduced its projection to GDP in 2018 from 2.6% to 1.6%. The Ministry of Finance has kept the projection of 2.5% – a percentage that seems increasingly unlikely
In the Focus report now published, the projection of industrial production in 2018 rose from 3.50% to 3%. , 17%. A month ago, it was at 3.80%. In the case of 2019, the estimate of growth in industrial production was 3.20% at 3.10%, against 3.50% verified four weeks ago.
Research has also shown that the projection of the indicator that measures the ratio of public sector net debt to GDP for 2018 was 55.00%. A month ago, I was at the same level. For 2019, the waiting remained at 58.00%, against 57.00% a month ago
The Focus also brought new projections to the tax area in 2018. The ratio between the primary deficit and the gross domestic product this year followed at 2.10%. In the case of 2019, it remained at 1.50%.
Meanwhile, the ratio of the nominal deficit to GDP in 2018 was 7.20%, according to the projections of financial market economists. For 2019, it remained at 6.80%. The main result reflects the balance between government revenues and expenditures, before the payment of interest on the public debt.
Market Projections for the Primary Deficit and the Nominal Deficit are Now Released in the Focus Trade Balance
Financial market economists have altered the trade balance projection in 2018 in the United States. Focus survey. The estimate of the trade surplus increased from 57.31 billion US dollars to 58.28 billion US dollars. A month ago, the forecast was $ 57.00 billion. In 2019, the estimate of the surplus was 49.70 billion, compared with 49.30 billion a month earlier.
According to the most recent estimate from BC, updated in the Quarterly Inflation Report (RTI), the balance
In the case of current account, the Focus forecasts for 2018 continued to show a deficit of US $ 20 billion from US $ 23.50 billion four weeks earlier. For 2019, the diamond projection was $ 36.00 billion to $ 35.95 billion.
For badysts consulted weekly by the BC, the Direct Investment in the Country (IDP) will be more than enough to cover the deficit result in 2018 and in 2019. The median forecast for the displaced in 2018 has pbaded $ 70.50 billion to $ 70 billion, up from $ 75 billion a month ago. In 2019, the expectation was $ 78.30 billion at $ 76.60 billion, compared to $ 80.00 billion a month earlier.
British Columbia forecasts a deficit of $ 11.5 billion in current account transactions in 2018 and $ 70.0 billion in IDP.
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