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Market
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07/03/2018
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20h05
The entity projects an expansion of 25% and badesses that the economic slowdown does not affect the recovery of the vehicles of charge
PEDRO KUTNEY, AB
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Fenabrave estimates that the deceleration of the pace of the economy, unleashed last month with the cessation of truckers, should not affect the strong recovery of the market in the country. the badessment is that the good performance of the cereal crop should continue to encourage the renewal of an aging fleet, unchanged over the past three years. As the basis of comparison with last year is very low, the entity that brings together the dealers of the distribution network decided more than to double its sales projection of freight vehicles in 2018, to nearly 25%.
Contrary to the anticipation of light vehicle sales, reduced to an expansion of 9.7% in 2018 (see here ), Fenabrave has readjusted by 10.3% at 24.8%% the estimated growth of the truck market. Dealers expect to sell 65,000 units a year.
"The reduction in GDP growth expectations this year hardly affects the growth percentage of the truck market because the basis for comparison is very low, we come from a long winter." harvest is still good, many orders are placed and there is already a shortage of heavy models for this transport, "says Sérgio Zonta, vice president of Fenabrave. |
Head of the entity for the truck segment and bus, Zonta highlights the growth of credit supply for the purchase of trucks, with greater availability of financial car manufacturers and independent banks, which reinforces the accelerated recovery of the sector. " The delinquency is low and the interest rates low. BNDES / Finame has a rate of 1.1% per month, but we currently see independent banks and car manufacturers offer CDCs (direct consumer credit) even cheaper, below 1%, "says the dealership.
– Download here data from Fenabrave
Despite better prospects, truck sales in June also stagnated, with 5,731 units registered, almost identical to May. There was an unprecedented 0.24% increase from the previous month.
But the annual comparison of percentages remains high. The growth of commercial vehicle registration plates was 37.1% compared to June last year. Although recent sales have failed due to lack of deliverables, the 32,300 trucks registered in the first half of 2018 still represent a significant 50.7% advance over the same period in 2017.
Performance Positive truck market is not replicated in the bus segment. In June, 1,190 units were sold, according to the consolidation of Fenabrave, a decrease of 4.2% compared to May and a much larger drop of 23.8% compared to the same month of 2017. But in the first half-year, 7.1 thousand buses, up nearly 10% (9.96%) compared with the same period last year.
Fenabrave estimates that the bus market has started a period of decline, so it has reduced its expectations for the year, which was a growth of 4.7% and has now fallen to 4.1%, with an estimate of 14, 5,000 facets throughout the year due to the expected closure of purchases due to the elections. "We made the adjustment (down) because of the election year," says Alarico Assumpção Jr., chairman of Fenabrave.
Tags: Fenabrave, market, sales, trucks, buses, heavy commercial vehicles, Renavam, projection.
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