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SÃO PAULO – After a good part of the trading session under a "hot temperature", Ibovespa recorded heavy losses during the trading session on Tuesday (4). The decision was motivated by two factors: uncertainty over the deal between China and the United States that had so excited Wall Street the day before and a change in the Treasury market, indicating that the market was expecting a recession of the world's largest economy. world.
At 4:45 pm, the benchmark on the stock market was down 1.83% to 88,176 points, while the commercial dollar was up 0.59% to 3, 665651 R $ compared to the sale. On Wall Street, the Dow was down 2.78%, the S & P 500 2.80%, while the Nasdaq was even more expressive, about 3.25%.
One of the signs of uncertainty over the deal reached this weekend at the G20 summit was given by US President Donald Trump himself in a series of tweets on Tuesday .
Trump said that if a trade deal with China is possible, it will be, but if both sides do not resolve disputes, they will resort to tariffs. "If that's the case, we'll do it," Trump said on Twitter. "But if it is not the case, remember that I am a customs officer."
In addition, the movement of US Treasury bonds weighs on the foreign market, with ten-year Treasury bills falling to 2.946%, narrowing gap with the two-year rate to 12 basis points, its smallest difference since 2007. Analysts estimate that this type of movement indicates that the market is experiencing a growing recession in the United States
Still in the interest market, the yield on three-year Treasury bonds outperformed the yield on five-year bonds . This reversal of the interest curve, namely a short-term profitability higher than long-term rates, is another indication of a recession, which usually takes months or even years, before reaching the first signs.
Highlights of the Stock Exchange
The most significant losses among the shares composing the Ibovespa are as follows:
+114,19
+22.51
The most significant increases among the shares composing Ibovespa are as follows:
+1.86
1 – In reais M – Millions | The economist Roberto Campos Neto, appointed to the presidency of the Central Bank by President-elect Jair Bolsonaro, met this morning the current director of regulation of the monetary authority [OtavioDamasopourdiscuterdesonsbatbatatSenate
Bolsonaro also landed today in Brasilia, where he stays until Thursday (6). He will meet representatives of MDB, PRB, PR and PSDB. This is the first time that Bolsonaro has spoken to party benches and not to specific thematic groups, as was the case with evangelicals and agribusiness entrepreneurs.
The trip takes place when the names of
In the Senate, special attention is given to the heavy task that could generate $ 60 billion for the government. . The vote was stopped last week in the face of technical difficulties in making part of the funds raised available to the states and municipalities. It was expected to vote today, but Senate Chief Romero Jucá (MDB-RR) said it would not happen.
The story was presented to the Senate last week, but was not appreciated for lack. consensus on the sharing of royalties from the expensive sale of pre-salt with states and municipalities. On Wednesday, the Senate Speaker, Eunicio Oliveira (MDB-CE), said that he would not put the question because there was no agreement between the members of the Senate. 39 economic team of the current government and President-elect Jair Bolsonaro. .
Meanwhile, Flávio Bolsonaro, in an interview with Globo News, defended the approval of the pension reform in 2019, but said that it would not act from the first Government's action and that some measures could be taken before guaranteeing the strength of the government. initial. There will be a new proposal with amendment to the Constitution, but also with bills.
The son of the elected president also argued that there are differentiated rules for certain segments. In the political field, he said that Bolsonaro would not interfere in the election of the chambers, but had shown his rejection of the election of Renan Calheiros in the Senate and Rodrigo Maia in the House. For the XP research team, there is "an articulating complicator when Onyx and Bolsonaro meet with executives and party leaders".
In addition, the Supreme Court (STF) should be monitored. The Supreme Court today ruled another request for release filed by the defense of former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. Panel members include petition rapporteur Edson Fachin and ministers Gilmar Mendes, Celso de Mello, Carmen Lúcia and group president Ricardo Lewandowski.
"The former president tends to stand, but the case reporter, Minister Edson Fachin, is preparing for possible maneuvers from colleagues," estimates XP Research
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