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SÃO PAULO – The cautious climate that leaves European stock markets and future Wall Street indexes down slightly puts the domestic market under pressure, opening the second week of the year with a focus on on the Sino-US approach and the hope of a solution to the trade war between the two countries.
In Brazil, we must emphasize the expectation of the pension reform proposal, which should be presented in the coming days and caused turbulence on the stock market. "For the moment, the focus is on the elections to the leadership of the House and Senate, with Rodrigo Maia's favorite House and on nine candidates."
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The second ministerial meeting of the Bolsonaro Government will be held tomorrow and the ministers are expected to present the results of an evaluation of the bureaucratic rules that can be repealed for greater efficiency in the Government. [19659003] In this context, at 9:21 am GMT, the Ibovespa rose by 0.44% to 92,248 points.The futures contract maturing in February 2019 recorded a decrease of 0.35%, of R $ 3,708, and the commercial dollar of 0.35% to R $ 3,703 .The fourth consecutive decline of the dollar against the real follows the more benign external scenario accompanied by the rising commodity prices.
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Regarding future interest , the contract matures in jan 2021 went from 7.28% to 7.32% and the contract for January 2023 went from 8.42% to 8.43%
Global Equity
Asian stock markets found themselves facing signs progress in Sino-US trade negotiations to end the trade war. US President Donald Trump said the trade talks with China were going very well and the weakness of the Chinese economy was prompting Beijing to push for an agreement, reports Reuters. Ministers from both countries are meeting this week. The warmest tone of the countries before the first face-to-face meeting since Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed on a 90-day truce in the trade war does not encourage Western stock markets or trade unions. future stock indexes. The United States is close to stability.
In Europe, Brexit remains on the radar of investors and weighs heavily on the mood. British Prime Minister, Theresa May, said Sunday (6) that if the agreement she had reached with the European Union was not approved this month, the United Kingdom Uni would be in "unknown territory".
Oil prices rose for the sixth trading session, anticipating expectations of a solution to the US-China trade war and reducing the supply of commodities by the United States. main producers.
Interview with Major Olímpio
The InfoMoney receives, from 15:30, the elected Senator, Major Olímpio (PSL-SP). On the agenda are the Senate and House elections, President Jair Bolsonaro's prospects for governability, and the first signs and disagreements of the government in its first week. The show is broadcast live by IMTV and Facebook.
Political News
The government of Jair Bolsonaro wants to create a shortcut to the National Congress to speed up the approval of projects mainly concerning infrastructure, with the aim of unlocking investments, reports the O Estado de S. Paulo newspaper. The government has selected a package of measures already in progress and will propose a pact to the legislator to facilitate the approval of these projects, which could improve the business environment in the country.
Unlike the pension reform, which is unpopular, issues of interest to infrastructure do not consume political capital, said the minister. "Sometimes it's good to insert a complex agenda with a nice agenda," said Infrastructure Minister Tarcisio Gomes de Freitas
Monday (7), Bolsonaro will give presidents the largest public banks in the country: Caixa Econômica, Banco do Brasil and BNDES (National Bank for Economic and Social Development) .The president wants the nominees to help strengthen the coffers of the government by selling companies controlled by banks [19659011]] Financial market economists heard by the Central Bank have maintained forecasts of 3.69% in 2018 and 4.01% this year for the IPCA (general index of consumer prices). The GDP forecast (Gross Domestic Product) has been maintained at 1.30% for 2018 and has increased from 2.55% for the year to 2021, and for 2021 also to 3.75%. 2.53% in 2019. Foreign exchange outlook at R $ 3.80 at the end of this year.
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