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On December 31, 1983, science fiction writer Isaac Asimov did more than just New Year's resolutions.
That day, he published a text in The Star of Canada in which he made predictions on the would be the world in 35 years, that is to say in 2019.
Asimov (1920-1992) chose this year inspired by the writer George Orwell, who published in 1949 his famous novel 1984 . Asimov 's text makes predictions in three areas: nuclear war, computerization, and space exploration.
Now that 2019 has arrived, we can take evidence: that "clbad =" img img-responsive image-wide "/>
Asimov begins by saying that he fears a possible confrontation between l & # 39; Soviet Union of the time and the United States, but badumes that in 2019, there would be more nuclear war between the two powers – even recognizing that this "is not necessarily a sure badumption. "
He says that it would make little sense to start from a more radical badumption, because, as he says, it would be useless to discuss this year's life."
Although There was no nuclear war, the possibility of a nuclear conflict will always exist as long as there will be nuclear weapons or development programs.
"Many of us, or our children and grandchildren, would be alive." not only in Russia and the United States, but also in other countries such as the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, Israel and North Korea.
Computerization
Although he mentions the word" mobile ", the editor did not mention the smartphones that are in the hands of a large part of the world's population, but only computers.
Although computers have revolutionized the world for many years, the image that he predicted was successful [19659002] "The growing complexity of society will not allow it to pbad .. The parts of the world that lag behind in this direction will suffer as a result, their leaders will claim computerization while they claim weapons today. "
At this point, Asimov has also advanced one of the fears of the world of contemporary work: that of robots occupying jobs previously intended for human beings. "Computerization will mean fewer jobs overall, because technological progress has always generated more jobs in the past than eliminated."
"Schools will continue to exist, but a good teacher can do nothing better than to inspire the curiosity of an interested student you can meet at home on your computer. "
This posting is about online courses or tutorials on YouTube,
" Finally, all young people, and even all people, will be able to learn what they want, at their own pace, at their own pace and according to their rhythm. "
In Asimov in 2019, the world would have completed the transition to computerization and entered a new phase of" permanent improvement "in various aspects. Negative consequences for the environment
"The effects of human irresponsibility in terms of waste and pollution will become increasingly obvious and intolerable", he wrote, noting, however, that "Technological advances will give us the tools to reverse the degradation of the environment."
"Until 2019, we will return to the moon with vigor."
At this point, Asimov was wrong because the human being did not not walked on the moon since the beginning of the
Asimov badumed that in 2019 we would build houses in space, develop mining stations on the moon and use these extracted materials to build artifacts that would gravitate around the Earth.
"One of these structures that could be completed in 2019 would be the prototype of and a solar power station, equipped to collect solar energy, transform it into microwaves and transmit it to Earth," Asimov imagined.
All these projects have been studied, but they are still far from being realized [19659002] However, its delay is accompanied by a message that sounds like a call to harmony on Earth.
"This would be the beginning of an era when a significant portion of Earth's energy would come from the Sun in conditions that would not make it." He wrote, "Such structures would in and of themselves of peace in the world and of continued cooperation between nations. "
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