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Andrés Manuel López Obrador is the favorite to win the Sunday elections in Mexico, since Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is the favorite to beat Brazil in October. This is only one of the similarities between the leader of Morena (National Regeneration Movement) and the former Brazilian president.
"Indeed, Obrador and Lula have several points in common, both are rejected by the United States, that he treats them as populists, and also by the elites of their countries", explains Julio Hernández Astillero, # 39; one of the most influential political badysts of Mexico
"Televisa (oligopoly of television) hate Lopez Obrador, the attack constantly by fake news of this campaign, and the same thing s " was produced in 2006 when there was an obvious fraud to prevent López Obrador from reaching the presidency.I realized that the Brazilian media also systematically damage Lula.These are two progressive personalities who have great popular appeal, I can not talk about Lula anymore because I do not have enough information about Brazil ", confirms the commentator of the Rompevientos channel and the daily newspaper La Jornada, on
The closing of the campaign of López Obrador Wednesday d Last to the Estadio Azteca was an apotheosis, with a similar vibration to the 1970 World Cup final, defeated by
"It was a spectacular, impressive act by the crowd in favor of Lopez Obrador , but elsewhere the impact of the scenes was also important for the candidate's speech, with references to the historical causes of the Mexican left, a less pragmatic speech than the one used throughout the campaign. This final speech at the Azteca stadium was more ideological, it was the speech of a man who was already speaking as President of the Republic, as he had already been elected, "commented Hernández Astillero in his television chronicle
On Sunday, because we do not yet know if the system will recognize its triumph, it is necessary to allow elections freely, without the intervention of the organized crime, and to respect the popular vote. "
The Ghost of Fraud
Morena's candidate has between 40 and 50% of voting intentions, according to all research conducted by private institutes, which are not sympathetic to López Obrador, with a great advantage on the conservatives Ricardo Anaya (25%) and José Antonio Meade (19659003) Julio Hernández Astillero spoke with the Major Charter of the Mexican political scene on the eve of a change that may affect the rest of America Latin.
Carta Maior: Fear of fraud and?
Julio Hernández Astillero: The demons of fraud are nearby. If Mexico could have a normal campaign, López Obrador would already be considered a winner, for the benefit that the time of the representative of the National Action (PAN) Ricardo Anaya, which is impossible to turn, and also because of the climate that the country lives clearly. in favor of this one. But in Mexico, this is not enough to win. We have an electoral system of very poor democratic quality, dominated by mafias.
Despite this feeling that all of Mexico is waiting for Obrador's victory and his proposal for changes, even by widespread dissatisfaction with the current regime, there is still a segment that clings to fear and seems to want to try all kinds of formulas to prevent a character from triumphing over what he considers a demagogue, a populist and a liar. López Obrador has already been the victim of a scandalous fraud in 2006, in favor of the conservative PAN Felipe Calderón, and now there may be another, through the political machinery of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), which is in the government , with neo-liberal President Enrique Peña Nieto, whose representative is Meade, who is in third position. The PRI and the PAN form a system that some call PRI-AN, a group that has great economic weight and the support of the mainstream press, such as Televisa, and organized crime. The PRI-AN system has turned the state into a pit that houses corrupt mergers with neoliberal technocrats. In addition to the last two presidents, Felipe Calderón and Enrique Peña Nieto, Mexico does not deserve to be ruled by someone as poor as Peña Nieto, a telenovelas star of Televisa, who lacks prestige. He will be known as the incompetent who received Donald Trump with the red carpet
Narcopolítica
Carta Maior: Drug Trafficking in the Countryside?
Julio Hernández Astillero: Organized crime, drug trafficking and human trafficking, terrorize the country for years, and is obviously a factor of political and social power in the states where it operates. These are groups that enjoy impunity because they have proven links with the ruling parties, the PRI and the PAN. Drug trafficking can use its power of intimidation for people in rural villages not to vote, or use their economic influence to fund docile candidates. And after the elections, you can sow terror where other Morena candidates win if they do not submit to their pressures.
Currently, important parts of the country are totally overwhelmed by the war on drug trafficking, and this is an important fact for the elections.
19659003] Carta Maior: López Obrador proposes an amnesty for the war on drugs as a way to end it, but it could benefit narcotics.
Julio Hernández Astillero: It is one of the important proposals, but also one of the most enigmatic, on which there was more controversy, because López Obrador did not not given a detailed explanation. His political style is to launch proposals and wait to see the reactions, and soon to accommodate his words a little depending on the circumstances. First, he spoke of an amnesty that could include the big drug lords, and this proposal now seems to aim to amnesty the farmers, the poor peasants, who are working out of necessity on illegal crops. The amnesty has a bigger reason, which is understood by many people in Mexico. The company is tired of this model of fight against drug trafficking by the war, with the participation of the armed forces, which was imposed by the former president Felipe Calderón (2006-2012) and continued with Peña Nieto. The amnesty is a necessity that has already been raised by characters of different ideological positions, not just by Obrador. The quest for pacification through an amnesty was defended by right-wingers and scholars who studied the theme and who emphasized the need to explore the dialogue with narco leaders
Major Letter: The Figures of this War are worse than Julio Hernández Astillero: Indeed, the under-secretary for human rights of the current government said that there were about 33,000 people reported missing and about 30,000 dead bodies with no recognized identity, between the hands of the dictatorship. This number of missing persons is the result of the policies promoted by the Calderón and Peña Nieto governments, although the number of bodies of unknown identity is only that of the management of missing persons. Peña Nieto. But certainly the actual number of victims is even greater.
Julio Hernández Astillero: The militarization of the war against drug trafficking has resulted in an increase in the number of people killed Several negative consequences, such as human rights violations and greater power for the military , thanks to the use of millionaires public resources and in a reserved way. One of the sectors having benefited from the summits of the army and the navy. Over the last twelve years, there has been a process of serious distortion of the military function, which is ready to confront and eliminate an enemy, and have been used for police duties. All this has led the armed forces to acquire more power and influence. The Secretary General of Security, General Salvador Cienfuegos, has gained impressive political weight, which has never happened in Mexico, delivering speeches about the situation and the pressure for the adoption of the law. a law in Congress on national security, criticized by Lopez Obrador, whose proposal aims to end the war.
Obrador asked the general not to make statements of this nature and to keep only the outstanding military issues. The armed forces, especially their senior commanders, take an attitude that seems to want to prevent the victory of the leftist candidate, and it is dangerous.
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