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247 – Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the candidate representing the popular and nationalist camp in Mexico, will have a victory over Mexico on Sunday. In addition to taking the presidency of the Republic, with about 49 percent of the vote, polls say, his coalition must win elections in six of the nine states. One of the cornerstones of his campaign is the defense of Mexican oil for Mexicans – not for international oil companies. Obrador, who is considered the "Mexican Lula," wins in his third attempt and was the target of an intense, negative campaign of conservative ways. However, since Donald Trump badumed the presidency of the United States and promised to build a border wall that would be paid for by the Mexicans, the anti-American sentiment helped take advantage of his campaign.
See article below by Leonardo Attuch, editor-in-chief of 247, on the opposing paths of Brazil and Mexico:
Brazil and Mexico, facing each other on Monday in quarters World Cup finals in Russia, are virtually opposed to political and economic situations. There, hope can defeat fear and nationalist politician Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who calls himself "Mexican Lula", has a good chance of winning the presidential election scheduled for Sunday. Here, former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who represents the hope of better days for the majority of the electorate, is imprisoned in a cold cell in Curitiba.
The success of AMLO, as Lopez Obrador calls it, and the tragedy of Lula goes through a central issue: the dispute over natural resources and the struggle for sovereignty. In Mexico, the core of the AMLO campaign is the defense of Mexican oil for Mexicans. For decades, the country was looted and General Porfirio Diaz (1830-1915), who ruled the Mexicans for over thirty years, invented a phrase that was etched in the national soul. "Poor Mexico: so far from God and so close to the United States."
In the Mexican model, oil is mined in the form of a concession by large US multinationals, such as Exxon and Chevron, and exported to crude oil refineries located in Texas. Then, in the form of derivatives, it is imported by the Mexicans. The result is a trade surplus of US $ 15 billion US per year in energy trade between the two countries. While Mexicans sell the raw material, Americans export diesel and higher value-added gasoline.
AMLO proposes the end of exploratory investments in the Gulf of Mexico under this model of concessions and defends the construction of refineries in Mexican territory. Nothing very different from what Brazil was planning to do after the discovery of the largest oil reserves in the 21st century, which are precisely in the pre-salt.
However, the Brazilian development project was abruptly interrupted. Thus, ousted President Dilma Rousseff and Petrobras were spied by the NSA, the US intelligence agency, in the administration of Barack Obama. Shortly after, conditions were laid for the overthrow of Dilma, the delivery of pre-salt and the imprisonment of Lula, whose arrest, according to Minister Marco Aurelio Mello, is unconstitutional
. the victory of a nationalist politician like AMLO in Mexico. However, as they have found a much more valuable treasure in Brazil, generously yielded by an elite, replacing the Gulf of Mexico oil with pre-salt may be paying off. In Cup, Brazil is still favorite against Mexico. But in the struggle for sovereignty, Mexicans are being beaten.
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