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The study of the Getulio Vargas Foundation's School of Applied Mathematics (FGV EMAp) reveals that the $ 200 million R worth of the Mega-Sena da Virada Prize – with R $ 50 bills, the one after another, would have 630 km, which roughly corresponds to the extension of the coast of the State of Rio. Or, with each vote put side by side, the total value of the award covers the equivalent of 11 football fields.
"It is not advisable to walk with the mbad there, because the weight is about 4 tons. The column of notes arranged in a single pile would have a height of more than 350 meters But it was organized to occupy an area equivalent to a double bed, the height of one and a half meters, would not have put so much money under the mattress, "says the professor at the FGV EMAp Moacyr Alvim Silva.
Still according to the 'study, the possibility that the Mega-Sena of Virada has a single winner is worth 0, 6%, taking into account that the volume of According to the survey, there is a good chance that the price of 200 million R $ is divided between six or seven winners.
"The odds of 14.9% of the prize being distributed among the six winners, giving the same percentage of chances that the contest rewards seven winners. Therefore, the most likely amount for each winner is $ 35 million or $ 30 million (six or seven winning bets, respectively). Then, the probabilities of the eight and five winners appear, with 13% and 12.8%, respectively. Silva points out that if the Mega-Sena da Virada has only one winner, the lucky one without investing anything and placing the money under the mattress can result in a loss of 10.1%. "
" Investing in a current conservative fund with a real interest rate of 2% per annum, he can withdraw R $ 345,000 a month, without risk and without inflation problems. The money would never end, "says the professor.
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